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icon for Победитель выборов мэра Дервент-Вэлли
Политика·Мэр

Победитель выборов мэра Дервент-Вэлли

icon for Победитель выборов мэра Дервент-Вэлли
Политика·Мэр

Победитель выборов мэра Дервент-Вэлли

Мишель Дракалис 48%

Джеймс Рэндалл 40%

Джесс Бернс 38%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Мишель Дракалис 48%

Джеймс Рэндалл 40%

Джесс Бернс 38%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
icon for Мишель Дракалис

Мишель Дракалис

$0 Объем

48%

icon for Джеймс Рэндалл

Джеймс Рэндалл

$0 Объем

40%

icon for Джесс Бернс

Джесс Бернс

$0 Объем

38%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).**The Derwent Valley mayoral race in Tasmania remains closely contested ahead of the 2026 local government elections, with trader consensus reflecting high uncertainty across a large field of independents.** Incumbent Michelle Dracoulis holds a visible position through her emphasis on recent council achievements, including appointing a new CEO after a national search, achieving a projected financial surplus following budget reviews and cuts, and advancing infrastructure and tourism projects. A failed November 2025 no-confidence motion against her over social media activity and code-of-conduct matters underscored internal council divisions but did not derail her campaign messaging focused on non-partisan delivery and community engagement. Challengers such as Jess Burns and James Randall sit slightly behind in market pricing, consistent with a fragmented independent contest where local issues like financial sustainability, service delivery, and governance stability could shift support. With compulsory postal voting and a multi-candidate ballot typical of Tasmanian local elections, separation among contenders will likely hinge on turnout patterns, preference flows, and any late campaign developments on council performance.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
28 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 4:20 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).**The Derwent Valley mayoral race in Tasmania remains closely contested ahead of the 2026 local government elections, with trader consensus reflecting high uncertainty across a large field of independents.** Incumbent Michelle Dracoulis holds a visible position through her emphasis on recent council achievements, including appointing a new CEO after a national search, achieving a projected financial surplus following budget reviews and cuts, and advancing infrastructure and tourism projects. A failed November 2025 no-confidence motion against her over social media activity and code-of-conduct matters underscored internal council divisions but did not derail her campaign messaging focused on non-partisan delivery and community engagement. Challengers such as Jess Burns and James Randall sit slightly behind in market pricing, consistent with a fragmented independent contest where local issues like financial sustainability, service delivery, and governance stability could shift support. With compulsory postal voting and a multi-candidate ballot typical of Tasmanian local elections, separation among contenders will likely hinge on turnout patterns, preference flows, and any late campaign developments on council performance.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
28 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 4:20 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).

Связанные

icon for Победит ли Мэттью Гарвуд на следующих выборах мэра Лончестона?

Победит ли Мэттью Гарвуд на следующих выборах мэра Лончестона?

54%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Рик Шегог следующие выборы мэра Уэст-Тамар?

Выиграет ли Рик Шегог следующие выборы мэра Уэст-Тамар?

61%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Майк Дутта следующие выборы мэра Хобарта?

Выиграет ли Майк Дутта следующие выборы мэра Хобарта?

45%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов мэра Дервент-Вэлли» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 3 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Мишель Дракалис» с 48%, за ним следует «Джеймс Рэндалл» с 40%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 48¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 48%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Победитель выборов мэра Дервент-Вэлли» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Sep 3, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов мэра Дервент-Вэлли», просмотри 3 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов мэра Дервент-Вэлли» — «Мишель Дракалис» с 48%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 48%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Джеймс Рэндалл» с 40%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов мэра Дервент-Вэлли» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.