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icon for Победитель выборов мэра Девонпорта

Победитель выборов мэра Девонпорта

icon for Победитель выборов мэра Девонпорта

Победитель выборов мэра Девонпорта

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
icon for Элисон Джарман

Элисон Джарман

$1,469 Объем

71%

icon for Стив Мартин

Стив Мартин

$635 Объем

8%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Devonport as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Alison Jarman, the incumbent Devonport City Council mayor, leads the market at 71.5% as the October 27, 2026, Tasmanian local government election approaches, with Steve Martin at 10% and most other listed candidates or “Other” at 50%. Jarman’s position reflects her ongoing role chairing council meetings through mid-2026, her established local profile, and statements from Deputy Mayor Stacey Sheehan confirming Jarman’s recontest alongside a collaborative working relationship. Martin, a former mayor and current councillor, retains some visibility from prior campaigns but trails in current pricing. Nominations for mayor and councillors open September 7 and close September 21, leaving the field open to additional entrants; low trading volume on most options indicates limited information on new challengers or shifts in voter sentiment ahead of compulsory postal voting.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Devonport as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Devonport as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Объем
$2,104
Дата окончания
28 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 4:02 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Devonport as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Alison Jarman, the incumbent Devonport City Council mayor, leads the market at 71.5% as the October 27, 2026, Tasmanian local government election approaches, with Steve Martin at 10% and most other listed candidates or “Other” at 50%. Jarman’s position reflects her ongoing role chairing council meetings through mid-2026, her established local profile, and statements from Deputy Mayor Stacey Sheehan confirming Jarman’s recontest alongside a collaborative working relationship. Martin, a former mayor and current councillor, retains some visibility from prior campaigns but trails in current pricing. Nominations for mayor and councillors open September 7 and close September 21, leaving the field open to additional entrants; low trading volume on most options indicates limited information on new challengers or shifts in voter sentiment ahead of compulsory postal voting.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Devonport as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Devonport as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Объем
$2,104
Дата окончания
28 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 4:02 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов мэра Девонпорта» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Элисон Джарман» с 71%, за ним следует «Стив Мартин» с 8%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 71¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 71%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Победитель выборов мэра Девонпорта» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Sep 3, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов мэра Девонпорта», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов мэра Девонпорта» — «Элисон Джарман» с 71%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 71%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Стив Мартин» с 8%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов мэра Девонпорта» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.