Doug Ford remains entrenched as Ontario PC leader and premier following the party's third consecutive majority win in the 2025 election. Recent controversies over a private jet purchase and MPP hotel expenses have driven his approval ratings to record lows and narrowed the PCs' polling lead, yet no formal leadership review, caucus revolt, or resignation signals have emerged. Ford has publicly affirmed his intent to stay, and party structures show no organized challenge ahead of the December 31, 2026, horizon. Trader consensus on the "No" outcome at 87% reflects the absence of imminent pressure points, Ford's incumbency advantages, and historical patterns where Ontario PC leaders typically serve multiple terms absent acute internal crises.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено13% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
13% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Doug Ford ceases to be Leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Doug Ford's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Doug Ford remains entrenched as Ontario PC leader and premier following the party's third consecutive majority win in the 2025 election. Recent controversies over a private jet purchase and MPP hotel expenses have driven his approval ratings to record lows and narrowed the PCs' polling lead, yet no formal leadership review, caucus revolt, or resignation signals have emerged. Ford has publicly affirmed his intent to stay, and party structures show no organized challenge ahead of the December 31, 2026, horizon. Trader consensus on the "No" outcome at 87% reflects the absence of imminent pressure points, Ford's incumbency advantages, and historical patterns where Ontario PC leaders typically serve multiple terms absent acute internal crises.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Doug Ford ceases to be Leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Doug Ford's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Doug Ford's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 30, 2026, 6:30 PM ET
Объем
$5,138Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 30, 2026, 6:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Doug Ford ceases to be Leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Doug Ford's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Doug Ford remains entrenched as Ontario PC leader and premier following the party's third consecutive majority win in the 2025 election. Recent controversies over a private jet purchase and MPP hotel expenses have driven his approval ratings to record lows and narrowed the PCs' polling lead, yet no formal leadership review, caucus revolt, or resignation signals have emerged. Ford has publicly affirmed his intent to stay, and party structures show no organized challenge ahead of the December 31, 2026, horizon. Trader consensus on the "No" outcome at 87% reflects the absence of imminent pressure points, Ford's incumbency advantages, and historical patterns where Ontario PC leaders typically serve multiple terms absent acute internal crises.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Doug Ford ceases to be Leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Doug Ford's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Doug Ford's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$5,138Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 30, 2026, 6:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Doug Ford remains entrenched as Ontario PC leader and premier following the party's third consecutive majority win in the 2025 election. Recent controversies over a private jet purchase and MPP hotel expenses have driven his approval ratings to record lows and narrowed the PCs' polling lead, yet no formal leadership review, caucus revolt, or resignation signals have emerged. Ford has publicly affirmed his intent to stay, and party structures show no organized challenge ahead of the December 31, 2026, horizon. Trader consensus on the "No" outcome at 87% reflects the absence of imminent pressure points, Ford's incumbency advantages, and historical patterns where Ontario PC leaders typically serve multiple terms absent acute internal crises.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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