Edi Rama secured a strengthened mandate in Albania’s May 2025 parliamentary elections, with his Socialist Party winning 83 of 140 seats and enabling formal confirmation of his fourth consecutive term as prime minister in September 2025. The next scheduled parliamentary vote is not due until 2029, and Rama’s government has maintained a clear majority without coalition defections or successful no-confidence challenges. Recent protests in mid-2026 over a contested luxury resort development and governance issues have not produced parliamentary instability, early elections, or institutional mechanisms sufficient to unseat the incumbent before year-end. Trader consensus reflected in the 85.5% probability for “No” aligns with this institutional stability and the absence of near-term political catalysts that could force Rama’s departure before December 31, 2026.