Matthew Rhys’s performance as the hapless mayor in Apple TV’s breakout horror-comedy *Widow’s Bay* drives the 90.8% market-implied odds. The freshman series earned 19 Emmy nominations—more than any other new program—including nods for Outstanding Comedy Series, directing, and writing, fueled by strong reviews, TCA recognition, and word-of-mouth momentum since its April 2026 premiere. Rhys’s double-nomination feat across lead categories further cements voter enthusiasm. While veterans like Martin Short and Jason Segel bring prior recognition and loyal followings, an upset would require a late surge in guild sentiment or a surprising preference for established comedies over the buzzy newcomer ahead of the September 14 ceremony.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЭмми 2026: Выдающийся ведущий актер в комедийном сериале
Эмми 2026: Выдающийся ведущий актер в комедийном сериале
Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay” 90.8%
Martin Short – “Only Murders in the Building” 5.8%
Jason Segel – “Shrinking” 2.5%
Steve Carell – “Rooster” 1.9%
$22,171 Объем
$22,171 Объем
14 сент. 2026 г.
Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay”
91%
Martin Short – “Only Murders in the Building”
6%
Jason Segel – “Shrinking”
2%
Steve Carell – “Rooster”
2%
Yahya Abdul-Mateen II – “Wonder Man”
1%
Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay” 90.8%
Martin Short – “Only Murders in the Building” 5.8%
Jason Segel – “Shrinking” 2.5%
Steve Carell – “Rooster” 1.9%
$22,171 Объем
$22,171 Объем
14 сент. 2026 г.
Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay”
$13,697 Объем
91%
Martin Short – “Only Murders in the Building”
$3,010 Объем
6%
Jason Segel – “Shrinking”
$1,471 Объем
2%
Steve Carell – “Rooster”
$2,146 Объем
2%
Yahya Abdul-Mateen II – “Wonder Man”
$1,847 Объем
1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Matthew Rhys’s performance as the hapless mayor in Apple TV’s breakout horror-comedy *Widow’s Bay* drives the 90.8% market-implied odds. The freshman series earned 19 Emmy nominations—more than any other new program—including nods for Outstanding Comedy Series, directing, and writing, fueled by strong reviews, TCA recognition, and word-of-mouth momentum since its April 2026 premiere. Rhys’s double-nomination feat across lead categories further cements voter enthusiasm. While veterans like Martin Short and Jason Segel bring prior recognition and loyal followings, an upset would require a late surge in guild sentiment or a surprising preference for established comedies over the buzzy newcomer ahead of the September 14 ceremony.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 9, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Объем
$22,171Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 9, 2026, 9:02 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Matthew Rhys’s performance as the hapless mayor in Apple TV’s breakout horror-comedy *Widow’s Bay* drives the 90.8% market-implied odds. The freshman series earned 19 Emmy nominations—more than any other new program—including nods for Outstanding Comedy Series, directing, and writing, fueled by strong reviews, TCA recognition, and word-of-mouth momentum since its April 2026 premiere. Rhys’s double-nomination feat across lead categories further cements voter enthusiasm. While veterans like Martin Short and Jason Segel bring prior recognition and loyal followings, an upset would require a late surge in guild sentiment or a surprising preference for established comedies over the buzzy newcomer ahead of the September 14 ceremony.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$22,171Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 9, 2026, 9:02 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Matthew Rhys’s performance as the hapless mayor in Apple TV’s breakout horror-comedy *Widow’s Bay* drives the 90.8% market-implied odds. The freshman series earned 19 Emmy nominations—more than any other new program—including nods for Outstanding Comedy Series, directing, and writing, fueled by strong reviews, TCA recognition, and word-of-mouth momentum since its April 2026 premiere. Rhys’s double-nomination feat across lead categories further cements voter enthusiasm. While veterans like Martin Short and Jason Segel bring prior recognition and loyal followings, an upset would require a late surge in guild sentiment or a surprising preference for established comedies over the buzzy newcomer ahead of the September 14 ceremony.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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