This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: References to suspects made internally by the US government over the course of its investigation do not alone constitute a qualifying "client list."This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: References to suspects made internally by the US government over the course of its investigation do not alone constitute a qualifying "client list."This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.The Epstein Files Transparency Act, passed by Congress and signed into law in November 2025, established the primary legislative mandate for broader disclosure of Department of Justice records tied to Jeffrey Epstein’s investigations, shifting trader focus toward compliance timelines and scope. The DOJ fulfilled key requirements with a December 2025 tranche of redacted files and a January 30, 2026 release of more than 3 million pages plus thousands of videos and images, which officials described as marking the end of the mandated production. Earlier 2025 DOJ and FBI assessments found no evidence of a singular “client list” or blackmail operation, a conclusion that aligned with prior court-unsealed materials from the Giuffre v. Maxwell case while tempering expectations for comprehensive new revelations. These verified releases and official statements continue to anchor assessments of any remaining or conditional disclosures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: References to suspects made internally by the US government over the course of its investigation do not alone constitute a qualifying "client list."
This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: References to suspects made internally by the US government over the course of its investigation do not alone constitute a qualifying "client list."
The Epstein Files Transparency Act, passed by Congress and signed into law in November 2025, established the primary legislative mandate for broader disclosure of Department of Justice records tied to Jeffrey Epstein’s investigations, shifting trader focus toward compliance timelines and scope. The DOJ fulfilled key requirements with a December 2025 tranche of redacted files and a January 30, 2026 release of more than 3 million pages plus thousands of videos and images, which officials described as marking the end of the mandated production. Earlier 2025 DOJ and FBI assessments found no evidence of a singular “client list” or blackmail operation, a conclusion that aligned with prior court-unsealed materials from the Giuffre v. Maxwell case while tempering expectations for comprehensive new revelations. These verified releases and official statements continue to anchor assessments of any remaining or conditional disclosures.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Jul 31 2026
No new Epstein client list released as market confidence collapses
By July 31, 2026, no previously unreleased files containing a definitive Epstein client list had been made public, leading to the market price for the July 31 resolution option falling to zero. Victims and advocates remain frustrated, but official releases and reporting confirm no such list has emerged.
Jul 30 2026
Federal judge orders DOJ to turn over unredacted Epstein files for judicial review
The judicial order to review unredacted files underscored ongoing legal battles over transparency but no client list was disclosed, contributing to market stagnation.
Jul 30 2026
Epstein victims criticize acting AG Todd Blanche for dismissive meeting
July 31 dips to 0%1%
Jeffrey Epstein victims publicly criticized acting Attorney General Todd Blanche for dismissing their concerns during a private meeting, highlighting ongoing frustration over the absence of a definitive client list in the released files. This reinforced market doubts about the release of incriminating client information.
Jul 30 2026
Epstein survivors deliver files to lawmakers amid ongoing demand for client list
July 31 dips to 0%1%
Epstein survivors brought copies of files to Capitol Hill, pressing lawmakers for the release of the client list, but no new incriminating documents were made public, coinciding with the market price dropping to zero.
Jul 29 2026
Investigation reveals sexual misconduct reports linked to Epstein at Michigan arts school
July 31 dips to 0%1%
An investigation at a Michigan fine arts school uncovered reports of sexual misconduct by Jeffrey Epstein involving students, including unwanted touching and trips. This added to the ongoing revelations from the Epstein files and intensified public scrutiny of Epstein's activities and network.
Jul 26 2026
Bipartisan group in Congress pushes for more Epstein transparency amid ongoing investigations
July 31 dips to 0%1%
Congressional efforts to increase transparency and pressure the DOJ to release more files kept the issue in public focus but did not yield a client list, sustaining market uncertainty.
Jul 23 2026
Former Barclays CEO Jes Staley testifies before House panel on Epstein ties
Jes Staley, former Barclays CEO, testified before the House Oversight Committee regarding his ties to Jeffrey Epstein amid ongoing investigations. Documents revealed scrutiny of Staley's conduct and his relationship with Epstein, contributing to the broader fallout from the Epstein files.
Jul 21 2026
External review reveals Gates Foundation met with Epstein despite concerns
An external review disclosed that the Gates Foundation met with Epstein multiple times despite internal concerns, but no new client list was revealed, maintaining market skepticism about a forthcoming incriminating list release.
Jul 16 2026
Attorney General nominee Todd Blanche meets with Epstein victims amid file release controversy
Todd Blanche met with Epstein survivors who continue to demand the release of the so-called client list, highlighting ongoing dissatisfaction and doubt about the completeness of the released files, which pressured the market downward.
Jul 15 2026
Epstein Files Transparency Act II introduced to strengthen enforcement
Rep. Thomas Massie, with co-sponsors including Ro Khanna, introduced the Epstein Files Transparency Act II to empower state attorneys general, victims, and members of Congress to sue the DOJ for failing to comply with the original law and to limit DOJ's ability to withhold records.
Jul 15 2026
JD Vance admits communication errors over Epstein files release
JD Vance acknowledged that the Trump administration mishandled communications regarding the Epstein files, clarifying that while documents were released, no malicious intent to hide a client list existed. This admission contributed to market skepticism about the imminent release of a definitive client list.
Public admission of communication failures by the Trump administration regarding Epstein files contributed to declining market confidence in the release of a client list.
Jul 2 2026
DOJ deadline to release more unredacted Epstein files or justify redactions
July 31 dips to 0%1%
The DOJ was ordered to comply by July 2 with the judge's demand to reduce redactions or justify them, but no definitive client list was released, contributing to market price collapse for July 31 outcome.
Jul 2 2026
Federal judge orders DOJ to release more unredacted Epstein records or justify redactions
July 31 plunges to 1%43%
The court order increased pressure on the DOJ to disclose additional files, raising hopes for a client list but no such list was confirmed, causing a sharp market drop.
Jul 2 2026
Deadline passes for DOJ to unredact Epstein files; no new client list released
July 31 drops to 1%10%
The Justice Department did not release a new unredacted client list explicitly linking individuals to Epstein's illegal activities by the July 2 deadline, leading to a collapse in market confidence that such files would be made public by the end of 2025.
Jul 2 2026
Federal judge orders partial unredaction of Epstein files by July 2 deadline
July 31 dips to 0%1%
A federal judge gave Attorney General Todd Blanche a deadline to unredact certain emails and release additional documents with potential co-conspirator names unredacted, raising hopes for more transparency. However, no new client list was confirmed by the deadline, limiting market impact.
Jul 2 2026
DOJ defends withholding millions of Epstein documents amid court deadline
The DOJ filed court documents defending its limited release of Epstein files, citing victim privacy and internal deliberations as reasons for redactions and withholding. This came as the DOJ faced a July 2 deadline to comply with a judge's order to release more unredacted files.
Jun 26 2026
Federal judge orders DOJ to release more unredacted Epstein files or justify redactions by July 2
July 31 plunges to 5%39%
U.S. District Judge Emmet Sullivan granted a preliminary injunction requiring the Justice Department to either release additional unredacted Jeffrey Epstein materials or explain why redactions should remain. This increased pressure on the DOJ to disclose more information related to Epstein's network.
Jun 26 2026
Leon Black testifies before House Oversight Committee about Epstein ties
July 31 plunges to 1%43%
Leon Black's testimony denying knowledge of Epstein's abuses maintained public scrutiny but did not produce a client list, contributing to market uncertainty.
Jun 26 2026
Leon Black testifies before Congress about payments to Epstein amid scrutiny
July 31 plunges to 5%39%
Leon Black testified about $158 million paid to Epstein, claiming ignorance of Epstein's criminal activities. This testimony heightened public and congressional scrutiny but did not reveal a client list, contributing to market uncertainty.
Jun 26 2026
Leon Black testifies denying knowledge of Epstein's abuse amid document release delays
July 31 plunges to 1%43%
Leon Black, a billionaire linked financially to Epstein, testified denying knowledge of Epstein's alleged abuse. This occurred despite delays in the full release of Epstein documents, contributing to ongoing uncertainty about the existence of a client list and affecting market confidence.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: References to suspects made internally by the US government over the course of its investigation do not alone constitute a qualifying "client list."This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: References to suspects made internally by the US government over the course of its investigation do not alone constitute a qualifying "client list."This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.The Epstein Files Transparency Act, passed by Congress and signed into law in November 2025, established the primary legislative mandate for broader disclosure of Department of Justice records tied to Jeffrey Epstein’s investigations, shifting trader focus toward compliance timelines and scope. The DOJ fulfilled key requirements with a December 2025 tranche of redacted files and a January 30, 2026 release of more than 3 million pages plus thousands of videos and images, which officials described as marking the end of the mandated production. Earlier 2025 DOJ and FBI assessments found no evidence of a singular “client list” or blackmail operation, a conclusion that aligned with prior court-unsealed materials from the Giuffre v. Maxwell case while tempering expectations for comprehensive new revelations. These verified releases and official statements continue to anchor assessments of any remaining or conditional disclosures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: References to suspects made internally by the US government over the course of its investigation do not alone constitute a qualifying "client list."
This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: References to suspects made internally by the US government over the course of its investigation do not alone constitute a qualifying "client list."
The Epstein Files Transparency Act, passed by Congress and signed into law in November 2025, established the primary legislative mandate for broader disclosure of Department of Justice records tied to Jeffrey Epstein’s investigations, shifting trader focus toward compliance timelines and scope. The DOJ fulfilled key requirements with a December 2025 tranche of redacted files and a January 30, 2026 release of more than 3 million pages plus thousands of videos and images, which officials described as marking the end of the mandated production. Earlier 2025 DOJ and FBI assessments found no evidence of a singular “client list” or blackmail operation, a conclusion that aligned with prior court-unsealed materials from the Giuffre v. Maxwell case while tempering expectations for comprehensive new revelations. These verified releases and official statements continue to anchor assessments of any remaining or conditional disclosures.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Jul 31 2026
No new Epstein client list released as market confidence collapses
By July 31, 2026, no previously unreleased files containing a definitive Epstein client list had been made public, leading to the market price for the July 31 resolution option falling to zero. Victims and advocates remain frustrated, but official releases and reporting confirm no such list has emerged.
Jul 30 2026
Federal judge orders DOJ to turn over unredacted Epstein files for judicial review
The judicial order to review unredacted files underscored ongoing legal battles over transparency but no client list was disclosed, contributing to market stagnation.
Jul 30 2026
Epstein victims criticize acting AG Todd Blanche for dismissive meeting
July 31 dips to 0%1%
Jeffrey Epstein victims publicly criticized acting Attorney General Todd Blanche for dismissing their concerns during a private meeting, highlighting ongoing frustration over the absence of a definitive client list in the released files. This reinforced market doubts about the release of incriminating client information.
Jul 30 2026
Epstein survivors deliver files to lawmakers amid ongoing demand for client list
July 31 dips to 0%1%
Epstein survivors brought copies of files to Capitol Hill, pressing lawmakers for the release of the client list, but no new incriminating documents were made public, coinciding with the market price dropping to zero.
Jul 29 2026
Investigation reveals sexual misconduct reports linked to Epstein at Michigan arts school
July 31 dips to 0%1%
An investigation at a Michigan fine arts school uncovered reports of sexual misconduct by Jeffrey Epstein involving students, including unwanted touching and trips. This added to the ongoing revelations from the Epstein files and intensified public scrutiny of Epstein's activities and network.
Jul 26 2026
Bipartisan group in Congress pushes for more Epstein transparency amid ongoing investigations
July 31 dips to 0%1%
Congressional efforts to increase transparency and pressure the DOJ to release more files kept the issue in public focus but did not yield a client list, sustaining market uncertainty.
Jul 23 2026
Former Barclays CEO Jes Staley testifies before House panel on Epstein ties
Jes Staley, former Barclays CEO, testified before the House Oversight Committee regarding his ties to Jeffrey Epstein amid ongoing investigations. Documents revealed scrutiny of Staley's conduct and his relationship with Epstein, contributing to the broader fallout from the Epstein files.
Jul 21 2026
External review reveals Gates Foundation met with Epstein despite concerns
An external review disclosed that the Gates Foundation met with Epstein multiple times despite internal concerns, but no new client list was revealed, maintaining market skepticism about a forthcoming incriminating list release.
Jul 16 2026
Attorney General nominee Todd Blanche meets with Epstein victims amid file release controversy
Todd Blanche met with Epstein survivors who continue to demand the release of the so-called client list, highlighting ongoing dissatisfaction and doubt about the completeness of the released files, which pressured the market downward.
Jul 15 2026
Epstein Files Transparency Act II introduced to strengthen enforcement
Rep. Thomas Massie, with co-sponsors including Ro Khanna, introduced the Epstein Files Transparency Act II to empower state attorneys general, victims, and members of Congress to sue the DOJ for failing to comply with the original law and to limit DOJ's ability to withhold records.
Jul 15 2026
JD Vance admits communication errors over Epstein files release
JD Vance acknowledged that the Trump administration mishandled communications regarding the Epstein files, clarifying that while documents were released, no malicious intent to hide a client list existed. This admission contributed to market skepticism about the imminent release of a definitive client list.
Public admission of communication failures by the Trump administration regarding Epstein files contributed to declining market confidence in the release of a client list.
Jul 2 2026
DOJ deadline to release more unredacted Epstein files or justify redactions
July 31 dips to 0%1%
The DOJ was ordered to comply by July 2 with the judge's demand to reduce redactions or justify them, but no definitive client list was released, contributing to market price collapse for July 31 outcome.
Jul 2 2026
Federal judge orders DOJ to release more unredacted Epstein records or justify redactions
July 31 plunges to 1%43%
The court order increased pressure on the DOJ to disclose additional files, raising hopes for a client list but no such list was confirmed, causing a sharp market drop.
Jul 2 2026
Deadline passes for DOJ to unredact Epstein files; no new client list released
July 31 drops to 1%10%
The Justice Department did not release a new unredacted client list explicitly linking individuals to Epstein's illegal activities by the July 2 deadline, leading to a collapse in market confidence that such files would be made public by the end of 2025.
Jul 2 2026
Federal judge orders partial unredaction of Epstein files by July 2 deadline
July 31 dips to 0%1%
A federal judge gave Attorney General Todd Blanche a deadline to unredact certain emails and release additional documents with potential co-conspirator names unredacted, raising hopes for more transparency. However, no new client list was confirmed by the deadline, limiting market impact.
Jul 2 2026
DOJ defends withholding millions of Epstein documents amid court deadline
The DOJ filed court documents defending its limited release of Epstein files, citing victim privacy and internal deliberations as reasons for redactions and withholding. This came as the DOJ faced a July 2 deadline to comply with a judge's order to release more unredacted files.
Jun 26 2026
Federal judge orders DOJ to release more unredacted Epstein files or justify redactions by July 2
July 31 plunges to 5%39%
U.S. District Judge Emmet Sullivan granted a preliminary injunction requiring the Justice Department to either release additional unredacted Jeffrey Epstein materials or explain why redactions should remain. This increased pressure on the DOJ to disclose more information related to Epstein's network.
Jun 26 2026
Leon Black testifies before House Oversight Committee about Epstein ties
July 31 plunges to 1%43%
Leon Black's testimony denying knowledge of Epstein's abuses maintained public scrutiny but did not produce a client list, contributing to market uncertainty.
Jun 26 2026
Leon Black testifies before Congress about payments to Epstein amid scrutiny
July 31 plunges to 5%39%
Leon Black testified about $158 million paid to Epstein, claiming ignorance of Epstein's criminal activities. This testimony heightened public and congressional scrutiny but did not reveal a client list, contributing to market uncertainty.
Jun 26 2026
Leon Black testifies denying knowledge of Epstein's abuse amid document release delays
July 31 plunges to 1%43%
Leon Black, a billionaire linked financially to Epstein, testified denying knowledge of Epstein's alleged abuse. This occurred despite delays in the full release of Epstein documents, contributing to ongoing uncertainty about the existence of a client list and affecting market confidence.
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На сегодняшний день «Список клиентов Epstein, опубликованный...?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $4.4 million с момента запуска рынка Nov 18, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.
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Текущий фаворит для «Список клиентов Epstein, опубликованный...?» — «31 октября» с 18%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 18%. Следующий ближайший исход — «December 31» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.
Правила разрешения «Список клиентов Epstein, опубликованный...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.
Да. Тебе не нужно торговать, чтобы оставаться в курсе. Эта страница служит трекером в реальном времени для «Список клиентов Epstein, опубликованный...?». Вероятности исходов обновляются в реальном времени по мере поступления новых сделок. Ты можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки и читать раздел комментариев, чтобы узнать мнение других трейдеров. Ты также можешь использовать фильтры временного диапазона на графике, чтобы увидеть, как менялись коэффициенты со временем.
Коэффициенты Polymarket устанавливаются реальными трейдерами, вкладывающими реальные деньги в свои убеждения, что обычно приводит к точным прогнозам. С объёмом торгов $4.4 million по “Список клиентов Epstein, опубликованный...?” эти цены агрегируют коллективные знания и убеждённость тысяч участников — часто превосходя опросы, экспертные прогнозы и традиционные исследования. Рынки прогнозов, такие как Polymarket, имеют сильный послужной список точности, особенно когда события приближаются к дате разрешения. Например, месячный показатель точности Polymarket составляет 94%. Для получения последних статистических данных о точности прогнозов Polymarket посети страницу точности на Polymarket.
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На Polymarket цена каждого исхода представляет подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Цена 18¢ для «31 октября» на рынке «Список клиентов Epstein, опубликованный...?» означает, что трейдеры коллективно оценивают вероятность того, что «31 октября» будет правильным результатом, примерно в 18%. Если ты купишь акции «Да» по 18¢ и исход окажется правильным, ты получишь $1,00 за акцию — прибыль 82¢ за акцию. Если нет — эти акции будут стоить $0.
Рынок «Список клиентов Epstein, опубликованный...?» запланирован к разрешению примерно Dec 31, 2026. Это означает, что торговля остаётся открытой, а коэффициенты продолжат меняться до этой даты. Точные сроки разрешения зависят от момента появления официального результата, как описано в разделе «Правила».
Рынок «Список клиентов Epstein, опубликованный...?» имеет активное сообщество из 1,049 комментариев, где трейдеры делятся своим анализом, обсуждают исходы и последние события. Прокрути вниз до раздела комментариев, чтобы прочитать, что думают другие участники. Ты также можешь фильтровать по «Топ-держателям» или проверить вкладку «Активность» для ленты сделок в реальном времени.
Polymarket — крупнейший в мире рынок прогнозов, где ты можешь оставаться в курсе событий и зарабатывать на своих знаниях о реальных событиях. Трейдеры покупают и продают акции на исходы по темам от политики и выборов до криптовалют, финансов, спорта, технологий и культуры, включая рынки вроде «Список клиентов Epstein, опубликованный...?». Цены отражают вероятности в реальном времени, подкреплённые финансовыми убеждениями, зачастую обеспечивая более быстрые и точные сигналы, чем опросы, эксперты или традиционные исследования.
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