**Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation to run for Senate, holds the strongest position in the October 4 first-round contest.** Recent polling from Real Time Big Data (early September) shows Ferraço at 43% versus Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) at 33%, with Helder Salomão (PT) far behind at 13%; earlier surveys from Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas indicated a technical tie or narrow Ferraço edge in August. Ferraço benefits from incumbency, reported approval ratings near 76%, and backing from the prior administration’s coalition, while Pazolini, the former Vitória mayor, consolidates the main opposition challenge. Other registered candidates trail significantly. Trader consensus reflects these patterns, with the race potentially heading to a second round on October 25 if no candidate secures a majority.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоРикарду Феррасу 65%
Лоренцо Пазолини 34%
Сержиу Видигал <1%
Арнальдиньо Борго <1%
$40,221 Объем
$40,221 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Рикарду Феррасу
65%
Лоренцо Пазолини
34%
Сержиу Видигал
<1%
Арнальдиньо Борго
<1%
Эуклерио Сампайо
<1%
Рикарду Феррасу 65%
Лоренцо Пазолини 34%
Сержиу Видигал <1%
Арнальдиньо Борго <1%
$40,221 Объем
$40,221 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Рикарду Феррасу
$14,396 Объем
65%
Лоренцо Пазолини
$13,943 Объем
34%
Сержиу Видигал
$3,569 Объем
<1%
Арнальдиньо Борго
$4,885 Объем
<1%
Эуклерио Сампайо
$3,428 Объем
<1%
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation to run for Senate, holds the strongest position in the October 4 first-round contest.** Recent polling from Real Time Big Data (early September) shows Ferraço at 43% versus Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) at 33%, with Helder Salomão (PT) far behind at 13%; earlier surveys from Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas indicated a technical tie or narrow Ferraço edge in August. Ferraço benefits from incumbency, reported approval ratings near 76%, and backing from the prior administration’s coalition, while Pazolini, the former Vitória mayor, consolidates the main opposition challenge. Other registered candidates trail significantly. Trader consensus reflects these patterns, with the race potentially heading to a second round on October 25 if no candidate secures a majority.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Объем
$40,221Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation to run for Senate, holds the strongest position in the October 4 first-round contest.** Recent polling from Real Time Big Data (early September) shows Ferraço at 43% versus Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) at 33%, with Helder Salomão (PT) far behind at 13%; earlier surveys from Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas indicated a technical tie or narrow Ferraço edge in August. Ferraço benefits from incumbency, reported approval ratings near 76%, and backing from the prior administration’s coalition, while Pazolini, the former Vitória mayor, consolidates the main opposition challenge. Other registered candidates trail significantly. Trader consensus reflects these patterns, with the race potentially heading to a second round on October 25 if no candidate secures a majority.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$40,221Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation to run for Senate, holds the strongest position in the October 4 first-round contest.** Recent polling from Real Time Big Data (early September) shows Ferraço at 43% versus Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) at 33%, with Helder Salomão (PT) far behind at 13%; earlier surveys from Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas indicated a technical tie or narrow Ferraço edge in August. Ferraço benefits from incumbency, reported approval ratings near 76%, and backing from the prior administration’s coalition, while Pazolini, the former Vitória mayor, consolidates the main opposition challenge. Other registered candidates trail significantly. Trader consensus reflects these patterns, with the race potentially heading to a second round on October 25 if no candidate secures a majority.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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