Incumbent Ricardo Ferraço holds a modest lead in trader pricing for the October 2026 Espírito Santo gubernatorial election, reflecting his April 2026 transition into the governorship and recent polling advantages over challengers such as Lorenzo Pazolini. Early-stage dynamics keep the contest tight, including a fragmented field of pre-candidates, substantial undecided voters, and ongoing coalition negotiations ahead of the first-round vote and potential runoff. Recent surveys show Ferraço ahead in both spontaneous and stimulated scenarios, yet Pazolini and others retain paths through endorsements or shifts in voter turnout across key regions. Further separation could arise from upcoming debates, approval ratings on public management, or formal party alliances before October.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Эспириту-Санту
Рикарду Феррасу 56%
Лоренцо Пазолини 29%
Сержиу Видигал 8.1%
Арнальдиньо Борго 8.1%
Рикарду Феррасу
56%
Лоренцо Пазолини
29%
Сержиу Видигал
8%
Арнальдиньо Борго
8%
Эуклерио Сампайо
7%
Рикарду Феррасу 56%
Лоренцо Пазолини 29%
Сержиу Видигал 8.1%
Арнальдиньо Борго 8.1%
Рикарду Феррасу
56%
Лоренцо Пазолини
29%
Сержиу Видигал
8%
Арнальдиньо Борго
8%
Эуклерио Сампайо
7%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Ricardo Ferraço holds a modest lead in trader pricing for the October 2026 Espírito Santo gubernatorial election, reflecting his April 2026 transition into the governorship and recent polling advantages over challengers such as Lorenzo Pazolini. Early-stage dynamics keep the contest tight, including a fragmented field of pre-candidates, substantial undecided voters, and ongoing coalition negotiations ahead of the first-round vote and potential runoff. Recent surveys show Ferraço ahead in both spontaneous and stimulated scenarios, yet Pazolini and others retain paths through endorsements or shifts in voter turnout across key regions. Further separation could arise from upcoming debates, approval ratings on public management, or formal party alliances before October.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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