Recent energy price spikes tied to Middle East tensions have driven April 2026 Eurozone HICP inflation to 3.0%, up from 2.6% in March, prompting sharp upward revisions in professional forecasts. The ECB’s May Survey of Professional Forecasters now projects 2.7% average annual inflation for the full year, a 0.9 percentage point increase from prior expectations, reflecting persistent cost pressures in energy and goods. This data flow has concentrated trader consensus on the 3.1%+ outcome at 62.2% implied probability, while narrower bands around 2.5–3.0% capture residual uncertainty around the duration of the shock. Core measures excluding energy remain near 2.2%, and the ECB’s June policy meeting plus May final inflation release represent the next near-term catalysts likely to influence further repricing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоГодовая инфляция в еврозоне в 2026 году
Годовая инфляция в еврозоне в 2026 году
3,1%+ 60.9%
2,8-3,0% 22.1%
1,6–1,8% 18.6%
<1,0% 12.8%
$12,741 Объем
$12,741 Объем
19 янв. 2027 г.
<1,0%
24%
1,0–1,2%
4%
1,3–1,5%
<1%
1,6–1,8%
19%
1,9–2,1%
2%
2,2–2,4%
11%
2,5–2,7%
11%
2,8-3,0%
22%
3,1%+
60%
3,1%+ 60.9%
2,8-3,0% 22.1%
1,6–1,8% 18.6%
<1,0% 12.8%
$12,741 Объем
$12,741 Объем
19 янв. 2027 г.
<1,0%
$1,069 Объем
24%
1,0–1,2%
$769 Объем
4%
1,3–1,5%
$2,012 Объем
<1%
1,6–1,8%
$1,112 Объем
19%
1,9–2,1%
$2,821 Объем
2%
2,2–2,4%
$1,021 Объем
11%
2,5–2,7%
$1,139 Объем
11%
2,8-3,0%
$635 Объем
22%
3,1%+
$2,163 Объем
60%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlRecent energy price spikes tied to Middle East tensions have driven April 2026 Eurozone HICP inflation to 3.0%, up from 2.6% in March, prompting sharp upward revisions in professional forecasts. The ECB’s May Survey of Professional Forecasters now projects 2.7% average annual inflation for the full year, a 0.9 percentage point increase from prior expectations, reflecting persistent cost pressures in energy and goods. This data flow has concentrated trader consensus on the 3.1%+ outcome at 62.2% implied probability, while narrower bands around 2.5–3.0% capture residual uncertainty around the duration of the shock. Core measures excluding energy remain near 2.2%, and the ECB’s June policy meeting plus May final inflation release represent the next near-term catalysts likely to influence further repricing.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Открытие рынка: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Объем
$12,741Дата окончания
19 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlRecent energy price spikes tied to Middle East tensions have driven April 2026 Eurozone HICP inflation to 3.0%, up from 2.6% in March, prompting sharp upward revisions in professional forecasts. The ECB’s May Survey of Professional Forecasters now projects 2.7% average annual inflation for the full year, a 0.9 percentage point increase from prior expectations, reflecting persistent cost pressures in energy and goods. This data flow has concentrated trader consensus on the 3.1%+ outcome at 62.2% implied probability, while narrower bands around 2.5–3.0% capture residual uncertainty around the duration of the shock. Core measures excluding energy remain near 2.2%, and the ECB’s June policy meeting plus May final inflation release represent the next near-term catalysts likely to influence further repricing.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Объем
$12,741Дата окончания
19 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent energy price spikes tied to Middle East tensions have driven April 2026 Eurozone HICP inflation to 3.0%, up from 2.6% in March, prompting sharp upward revisions in professional forecasts. The ECB’s May Survey of Professional Forecasters now projects 2.7% average annual inflation for the full year, a 0.9 percentage point increase from prior expectations, reflecting persistent cost pressures in energy and goods. This data flow has concentrated trader consensus on the 3.1%+ outcome at 62.2% implied probability, while narrower bands around 2.5–3.0% capture residual uncertainty around the duration of the shock. Core measures excluding energy remain near 2.2%, and the ECB’s June policy meeting plus May final inflation release represent the next near-term catalysts likely to influence further repricing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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