Kimi Antonelli’s dominant start to the 2026 Formula 1 season has made him the clear market leader for Action of the Year. The 19-year-old Mercedes driver converted three straight pole positions into victories at the Chinese, Japanese, and Miami Grands Prix, building a 20-point championship lead after just four rounds. These record-setting performances, including his status as the youngest driver to achieve the feat, have concentrated trader attention on Antonelli and produced the current 75 percent implied probability. Other drivers, including Max Verstappen and several midfield options, trail well behind as recent on-track highlights remain centered on the Italian’s early-season results.