The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 42-45% for Mercedes, Racing Bulls, Audi, Ferrari, McLaren, and several others reflects the profound uncertainty introduced by the 2026 technical regulations, including revised power units, active aerodynamics, and reduced minimum weight. Mercedes currently leads the constructors’ standings thanks to strong early-season one-lap pace from its drivers, yet the Red Bull Ring’s high-speed layout and elevation changes have historically rewarded Red Bull’s chassis strengths while testing others’ tire management and energy deployment. With Audi entering as a works team and Cadillac debuting, plus ongoing tweaks to qualifying procedures to enhance spectacle, no squad has established clear qualifying supremacy. Recent form across the opening races shows multiple teams capable of front-row contention on any given weekend, keeping the market evenly balanced ahead of the June 28 event.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоFerrari 46%
Williams 43%
Racing Bulls 42%
Audi Revolut 42%
Ferrari
46%
Williams
43%
Racing Bulls
42%
Audi Revolut
42%
Cadillac
42%
Alpine
41%
Mclaren Mastercard
41%
Aston Martin
39%
Mercedes
39%
Tgr Haas
38%
Red Bull
38%
Ferrari 46%
Williams 43%
Racing Bulls 42%
Audi Revolut 42%
Ferrari
46%
Williams
43%
Racing Bulls
42%
Audi Revolut
42%
Cadillac
42%
Alpine
41%
Mclaren Mastercard
41%
Aston Martin
39%
Mercedes
39%
Tgr Haas
38%
Red Bull
38%
If the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Jul 4, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Открытие рынка: May 30, 2026, 7:31 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Jul 4, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 42-45% for Mercedes, Racing Bulls, Audi, Ferrari, McLaren, and several others reflects the profound uncertainty introduced by the 2026 technical regulations, including revised power units, active aerodynamics, and reduced minimum weight. Mercedes currently leads the constructors’ standings thanks to strong early-season one-lap pace from its drivers, yet the Red Bull Ring’s high-speed layout and elevation changes have historically rewarded Red Bull’s chassis strengths while testing others’ tire management and energy deployment. With Audi entering as a works team and Cadillac debuting, plus ongoing tweaks to qualifying procedures to enhance spectacle, no squad has established clear qualifying supremacy. Recent form across the opening races shows multiple teams capable of front-row contention on any given weekend, keeping the market evenly balanced ahead of the June 28 event.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы