Trader consensus prices Mercedes teammates George Russell and Kimi Antonelli as co-favorites at 31% implied probability for the Monaco Grand Prix winner, reflecting their team's dominant 2026 form with Antonelli extending a 20-point championship lead over Russell via three straight victories despite recent poor starts flagged as a Monaco risk. Charles Leclerc (26.5%) benefits from home-track mastery and strong single-lap pace on the tight Circuit de Monaco, while Max Verstappen (26.5%) holds steady with proven qualifying prowess and racecraft amid Red Bull's consistency. Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri trail at 18.5% and 17.5%, underscoring McLaren's straight-line speed disadvantage on this low-grip street circuit where pole position historically clinches victory over 70% of the time, keeping the top field bunched amid qualifying uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоKimi Antonelli 46%
George Russell 31%
Max Verstappen 27%
Charles Leclerc 27%
Kimi Antonelli
31%
George Russell
31%
Max Verstappen
27%
Charles Leclerc
27%
Lando Norris
19%
Lewis Hamilton
18%
Oscar Piastri
18%
Isack Hadjar
5%
Pierre Gasly
2%
Alexander Albon
1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
1%
Sergio Perez
1%
Esteban Ocon
1%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
1%
Nico Hulkenberg
1%
Valtteri Bottas
1%
Liam Lawson
1%
Arvid Lindblad
1%
Fernando Alonso
1%
Oliver Bearman
1%
Lance Stroll
1%
Kimi Antonelli 46%
George Russell 31%
Max Verstappen 27%
Charles Leclerc 27%
Kimi Antonelli
31%
George Russell
31%
Max Verstappen
27%
Charles Leclerc
27%
Lando Norris
19%
Lewis Hamilton
18%
Oscar Piastri
18%
Isack Hadjar
5%
Pierre Gasly
2%
Alexander Albon
1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
1%
Sergio Perez
1%
Esteban Ocon
1%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
1%
Nico Hulkenberg
1%
Valtteri Bottas
1%
Liam Lawson
1%
Arvid Lindblad
1%
Fernando Alonso
1%
Oliver Bearman
1%
Lance Stroll
1%
If the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Jun 14, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Открытие рынка: May 9, 2026, 8:38 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Jun 14, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices Mercedes teammates George Russell and Kimi Antonelli as co-favorites at 31% implied probability for the Monaco Grand Prix winner, reflecting their team's dominant 2026 form with Antonelli extending a 20-point championship lead over Russell via three straight victories despite recent poor starts flagged as a Monaco risk. Charles Leclerc (26.5%) benefits from home-track mastery and strong single-lap pace on the tight Circuit de Monaco, while Max Verstappen (26.5%) holds steady with proven qualifying prowess and racecraft amid Red Bull's consistency. Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri trail at 18.5% and 17.5%, underscoring McLaren's straight-line speed disadvantage on this low-grip street circuit where pole position historically clinches victory over 70% of the time, keeping the top field bunched amid qualifying uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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