Farsi Island, a small Iranian-held outpost in the Persian Gulf, has seen no reported military operations, diplomatic initiatives, or territorial challenges in the past 30 days that would alter its status under Iranian administration. Broader regional tensions involving Iran, U.S. naval presence, and Strait of Hormuz transit controls continue to influence trader assessments of escalation risks, yet these dynamics have centered on larger strategic sites rather than Farsi itself. Historical precedent from past incidents near the island underscores Iranian enforcement of nearby waters, while the absence of fresh announcements, force movements, or multilateral negotiations leaves the outcome dependent on any unforeseen shifts in U.S.-Iran or Israel-Iran relations within the market's resolution window. Trader consensus thus reflects limited catalysts for near-term change absent new verifiable developments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоОстров Фарси больше не находится под контролем Ирана...?
Остров Фарси больше не находится под контролем Ирана...?
НОВОЕ
31 июл. 2026 г.
31 июля
2%
31 августа
5%
$2,993 Объем
31 июля
$1,219 Объем
2%
31 августа
$1,774 Объем
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Farsi Island, a small Iranian-held outpost in the Persian Gulf, has seen no reported military operations, diplomatic initiatives, or territorial challenges in the past 30 days that would alter its status under Iranian administration. Broader regional tensions involving Iran, U.S. naval presence, and Strait of Hormuz transit controls continue to influence trader assessments of escalation risks, yet these dynamics have centered on larger strategic sites rather than Farsi itself. Historical precedent from past incidents near the island underscores Iranian enforcement of nearby waters, while the absence of fresh announcements, force movements, or multilateral negotiations leaves the outcome dependent on any unforeseen shifts in U.S.-Iran or Israel-Iran relations within the market's resolution window. Trader consensus thus reflects limited catalysts for near-term change absent new verifiable developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jul 20, 2026, 9:14 PM ET
Объем
$2,993Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 20, 2026, 9:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Farsi Island, a small Iranian-held outpost in the Persian Gulf, has seen no reported military operations, diplomatic initiatives, or territorial challenges in the past 30 days that would alter its status under Iranian administration. Broader regional tensions involving Iran, U.S. naval presence, and Strait of Hormuz transit controls continue to influence trader assessments of escalation risks, yet these dynamics have centered on larger strategic sites rather than Farsi itself. Historical precedent from past incidents near the island underscores Iranian enforcement of nearby waters, while the absence of fresh announcements, force movements, or multilateral negotiations leaves the outcome dependent on any unforeseen shifts in U.S.-Iran or Israel-Iran relations within the market's resolution window. Trader consensus thus reflects limited catalysts for near-term change absent new verifiable developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$2,993Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 20, 2026, 9:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Farsi Island, a small Iranian-held outpost in the Persian Gulf, has seen no reported military operations, diplomatic initiatives, or territorial challenges in the past 30 days that would alter its status under Iranian administration. Broader regional tensions involving Iran, U.S. naval presence, and Strait of Hormuz transit controls continue to influence trader assessments of escalation risks, yet these dynamics have centered on larger strategic sites rather than Farsi itself. Historical precedent from past incidents near the island underscores Iranian enforcement of nearby waters, while the absence of fresh announcements, force movements, or multilateral negotiations leaves the outcome dependent on any unforeseen shifts in U.S.-Iran or Israel-Iran relations within the market's resolution window. Trader consensus thus reflects limited catalysts for near-term change absent new verifiable developments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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