Trader consensus prices USA as a slim Group D favorite at 40.5% implied probability over Türkiye at 36%, driven by the co-hosts' home-soil advantage at SoFi Stadium for their opener against Paraguay on June 12 and finale versus Türkiye on June 25, amplifying Christian Pulisic's leadership in high-pressing drills amid pre-camp intensity. Recent injury scares—Pulisic's muscle issue, Johnny Cardoso's ankle sprain for USA; Hakan Çalhanoğlu's calf strain and Arda Güler's hamstring for Türkiye—have tempered enthusiasm despite solid qualifiers like Türkiye's playoff win over Kosovo. Paraguay's physical 4-4-2 and aerial threat (17.5%) loom as dark horse, while Australia's counter-speed (7.4%) faces steep travel and form hurdles, keeping the top-two race razor-tight with no clear dominance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСША 41%
Турция 36%
Парагвай 18%
Австралия 7.7%
$43,348 Объем
$43,348 Объем
США
41%
Турция
36%
Парагвай
18%
Австралия
8%
США 41%
Турция 36%
Парагвай 18%
Австралия 7.7%
$43,348 Объем
$43,348 Объем
США
41%
Турция
36%
Парагвай
18%
Австралия
8%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices USA as a slim Group D favorite at 40.5% implied probability over Türkiye at 36%, driven by the co-hosts' home-soil advantage at SoFi Stadium for their opener against Paraguay on June 12 and finale versus Türkiye on June 25, amplifying Christian Pulisic's leadership in high-pressing drills amid pre-camp intensity. Recent injury scares—Pulisic's muscle issue, Johnny Cardoso's ankle sprain for USA; Hakan Çalhanoğlu's calf strain and Arda Güler's hamstring for Türkiye—have tempered enthusiasm despite solid qualifiers like Türkiye's playoff win over Kosovo. Paraguay's physical 4-4-2 and aerial threat (17.5%) loom as dark horse, while Australia's counter-speed (7.4%) faces steep travel and form hurdles, keeping the top-two race razor-tight with no clear dominance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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