Incumbent Republican Austin Scott faces Democrat Kelly Esti and an independent in Georgia’s 8th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s consistent Republican lean—Scott captured nearly 69 percent in 2024—drives trader consensus that a first-round majority is nearly certain. Scott’s uncontested primary and Esti’s narrow but decisive Democratic primary victory on May 19 eliminated runoff risks on both sides, leaving little room for vote fragmentation. Georgia’s runoff trigger requires no candidate to exceed 50 percent; historical margins and low third-party viability make that threshold unlikely to be missed. Only an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic turnout shift could reopen the possibility of a December runoff.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей GA-08?
Победитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей GA-08?
Да
99% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Да
99% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-08 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-08 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-08 House election.Incumbent Republican Austin Scott faces Democrat Kelly Esti and an independent in Georgia’s 8th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s consistent Republican lean—Scott captured nearly 69 percent in 2024—drives trader consensus that a first-round majority is nearly certain. Scott’s uncontested primary and Esti’s narrow but decisive Democratic primary victory on May 19 eliminated runoff risks on both sides, leaving little room for vote fragmentation. Georgia’s runoff trigger requires no candidate to exceed 50 percent; historical margins and low third-party viability make that threshold unlikely to be missed. Only an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic turnout shift could reopen the possibility of a December runoff.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-08 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-08 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-08 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-08 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-08 House election.
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Объем
$1,264Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-08 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-08 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-08 House election.Incumbent Republican Austin Scott faces Democrat Kelly Esti and an independent in Georgia’s 8th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s consistent Republican lean—Scott captured nearly 69 percent in 2024—drives trader consensus that a first-round majority is nearly certain. Scott’s uncontested primary and Esti’s narrow but decisive Democratic primary victory on May 19 eliminated runoff risks on both sides, leaving little room for vote fragmentation. Georgia’s runoff trigger requires no candidate to exceed 50 percent; historical margins and low third-party viability make that threshold unlikely to be missed. Only an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic turnout shift could reopen the possibility of a December runoff.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-08 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-08 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-08 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-08 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-08 House election.
Объем
$1,264Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Republican Austin Scott faces Democrat Kelly Esti and an independent in Georgia’s 8th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s consistent Republican lean—Scott captured nearly 69 percent in 2024—drives trader consensus that a first-round majority is nearly certain. Scott’s uncontested primary and Esti’s narrow but decisive Democratic primary victory on May 19 eliminated runoff risks on both sides, leaving little room for vote fragmentation. Georgia’s runoff trigger requires no candidate to exceed 50 percent; historical margins and low third-party viability make that threshold unlikely to be missed. Only an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic turnout shift could reopen the possibility of a December runoff.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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