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Победитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей GA-11?

icon for Победитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей GA-11?

Победитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей GA-11?

Да

0% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Да

0% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.The GA-11 general election on November 3, 2026, features Republican nominee John Cowan, who secured the nomination after decisive primary and June runoff victories, against Democratic nominee Chris Harden and one independent. The district’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, reflected in its partisan voting index and historical margins exceeding 60 percent for GOP candidates, underpins trader pricing of an outright majority for the Republican. No recent polling, major endorsements, or campaign developments have signaled a competitive race capable of splitting the vote enough to trigger Georgia’s majority-vote runoff rule. With the general election still months away and structural advantages intact, the current consensus views an outright win as the probable outcome absent late shifts in turnout or candidate dynamics.

The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.
Объем
$373
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.The GA-11 general election on November 3, 2026, features Republican nominee John Cowan, who secured the nomination after decisive primary and June runoff victories, against Democratic nominee Chris Harden and one independent. The district’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, reflected in its partisan voting index and historical margins exceeding 60 percent for GOP candidates, underpins trader pricing of an outright majority for the Republican. No recent polling, major endorsements, or campaign developments have signaled a competitive race capable of splitting the vote enough to trigger Georgia’s majority-vote runoff rule. With the general election still months away and structural advantages intact, the current consensus views an outright win as the probable outcome absent late shifts in turnout or candidate dynamics.

The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.
Объем
$373
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.

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Текущий фаворит для «Победитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей GA-11?» — «Победитель первого тура на выборах в палату представителей GA-11?» с 71%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 71%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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