Florida's mid-decade congressional redistricting, enacted in late April 2026, has reinforced FL-11's status as a Solid Republican district with a Cook PVI of R+8, driving trader consensus to 82.5% for the Republican Party despite incumbent Dan Webster's retirement announcement on April 28. The open seat features a competitive four-candidate Republican primary—Steve Farley, Ivette Palomo, Tim Wilkins, and Mike Wilnau—against a Democratic primary field (Shawn Bettis, Barbie Harden Hall, Royal Webster, Dan Williams) hampered by scant fundraising, with Hall raising just $21,000 as of March. Absent polls showing viability and with primaries set for August 18 ahead of the November 3 general election, the GOP nominee holds a clear path to victory in this North Florida battleground.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-11
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-11
$18,333 Объем
$18,333 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
83%
Демократическая партия
15%
$18,333 Объем
$18,333 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$7,268 Объем
83%
Демократическая партия
$11,065 Объем
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's mid-decade congressional redistricting, enacted in late April 2026, has reinforced FL-11's status as a Solid Republican district with a Cook PVI of R+8, driving trader consensus to 82.5% for the Republican Party despite incumbent Dan Webster's retirement announcement on April 28. The open seat features a competitive four-candidate Republican primary—Steve Farley, Ivette Palomo, Tim Wilkins, and Mike Wilnau—against a Democratic primary field (Shawn Bettis, Barbie Harden Hall, Royal Webster, Dan Williams) hampered by scant fundraising, with Hall raising just $21,000 as of March. Absent polls showing viability and with primaries set for August 18 ahead of the November 3 general election, the GOP nominee holds a clear path to victory in this North Florida battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Объем
$18,333Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's mid-decade congressional redistricting, enacted in late April 2026, has reinforced FL-11's status as a Solid Republican district with a Cook PVI of R+8, driving trader consensus to 82.5% for the Republican Party despite incumbent Dan Webster's retirement announcement on April 28. The open seat features a competitive four-candidate Republican primary—Steve Farley, Ivette Palomo, Tim Wilkins, and Mike Wilnau—against a Democratic primary field (Shawn Bettis, Barbie Harden Hall, Royal Webster, Dan Williams) hampered by scant fundraising, with Hall raising just $21,000 as of March. Absent polls showing viability and with primaries set for August 18 ahead of the November 3 general election, the GOP nominee holds a clear path to victory in this North Florida battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$18,333Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's mid-decade congressional redistricting, enacted in late April 2026, has reinforced FL-11's status as a Solid Republican district with a Cook PVI of R+8, driving trader consensus to 82.5% for the Republican Party despite incumbent Dan Webster's retirement announcement on April 28. The open seat features a competitive four-candidate Republican primary—Steve Farley, Ivette Palomo, Tim Wilkins, and Mike Wilnau—against a Democratic primary field (Shawn Bettis, Barbie Harden Hall, Royal Webster, Dan Williams) hampered by scant fundraising, with Hall raising just $21,000 as of March. Absent polls showing viability and with primaries set for August 18 ahead of the November 3 general election, the GOP nominee holds a clear path to victory in this North Florida battleground.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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