Recent redistricting has reshaped Florida’s 22nd congressional district, creating an open seat with a mix of Broward County suburbs and coastal areas that favors Democratic performance in recent cycles. Multiple Democratic primary candidates, including Ian Blake, Pia Dandiya, and Kaysia Earley, are competing ahead of the August 18 primary, while Republicans field Deborah Adeimy and others in a contest viewed as more fragmented. Trader positioning reflects the district’s underlying partisan lean and early fundraising patterns, with the Democratic nominee seen as better positioned to consolidate support in the general election on November 3. Upcoming primaries and any shifts in candidate momentum remain key variables that could adjust implied probabilities before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоFL-22 House Election Winner
FL-22 House Election Winner
$15,508 Объем
$15,508 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Democratic Party
52%
Republican Party
45%
$15,508 Объем
$15,508 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Democratic Party
$7,415 Объем
52%
Republican Party
$8,093 Объем
45%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting has reshaped Florida’s 22nd congressional district, creating an open seat with a mix of Broward County suburbs and coastal areas that favors Democratic performance in recent cycles. Multiple Democratic primary candidates, including Ian Blake, Pia Dandiya, and Kaysia Earley, are competing ahead of the August 18 primary, while Republicans field Deborah Adeimy and others in a contest viewed as more fragmented. Trader positioning reflects the district’s underlying partisan lean and early fundraising patterns, with the Democratic nominee seen as better positioned to consolidate support in the general election on November 3. Upcoming primaries and any shifts in candidate momentum remain key variables that could adjust implied probabilities before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Объем
$15,508Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting has reshaped Florida’s 22nd congressional district, creating an open seat with a mix of Broward County suburbs and coastal areas that favors Democratic performance in recent cycles. Multiple Democratic primary candidates, including Ian Blake, Pia Dandiya, and Kaysia Earley, are competing ahead of the August 18 primary, while Republicans field Deborah Adeimy and others in a contest viewed as more fragmented. Trader positioning reflects the district’s underlying partisan lean and early fundraising patterns, with the Democratic nominee seen as better positioned to consolidate support in the general election on November 3. Upcoming primaries and any shifts in candidate momentum remain key variables that could adjust implied probabilities before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$15,508Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent redistricting has reshaped Florida’s 22nd congressional district, creating an open seat with a mix of Broward County suburbs and coastal areas that favors Democratic performance in recent cycles. Multiple Democratic primary candidates, including Ian Blake, Pia Dandiya, and Kaysia Earley, are competing ahead of the August 18 primary, while Republicans field Deborah Adeimy and others in a contest viewed as more fragmented. Trader positioning reflects the district’s underlying partisan lean and early fundraising patterns, with the Democratic nominee seen as better positioned to consolidate support in the general election on November 3. Upcoming primaries and any shifts in candidate momentum remain key variables that could adjust implied probabilities before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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