Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez's strong reelection bid in Florida's 28th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican (R+10 Cook PVI) with his 64.6% 2024 general election margin, anchors trader consensus at 89.5% for a GOP win amid Florida's 24-4 Republican congressional map under recent redistricting. Democrat Hector Mujica's April entry into the primary—dropping a U.S. Senate bid citing a clearer path—has drawn attention as a Venezuelan-American challenger to the Cuban-American incumbent, but forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball maintain Safe/Solid R ratings unchanged. Giménez leads fundraising decisively ($644K cash on hand vs. rivals' lower totals as of late March), bolstering defenses against Phil Ehr and primary foes ahead of August 18 closed primaries and November 3 general election. Late scandals or turnout shifts could alter dynamics, though structural leans favor continuity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-28
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-28
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
90%
Демократическая партия
8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$2,273 Объем
90%
Демократическая партия
$6,950 Объем
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez's strong reelection bid in Florida's 28th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican (R+10 Cook PVI) with his 64.6% 2024 general election margin, anchors trader consensus at 89.5% for a GOP win amid Florida's 24-4 Republican congressional map under recent redistricting. Democrat Hector Mujica's April entry into the primary—dropping a U.S. Senate bid citing a clearer path—has drawn attention as a Venezuelan-American challenger to the Cuban-American incumbent, but forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball maintain Safe/Solid R ratings unchanged. Giménez leads fundraising decisively ($644K cash on hand vs. rivals' lower totals as of late March), bolstering defenses against Phil Ehr and primary foes ahead of August 18 closed primaries and November 3 general election. Late scandals or turnout shifts could alter dynamics, though structural leans favor continuity.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Объем
$9,223Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez's strong reelection bid in Florida's 28th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican (R+10 Cook PVI) with his 64.6% 2024 general election margin, anchors trader consensus at 89.5% for a GOP win amid Florida's 24-4 Republican congressional map under recent redistricting. Democrat Hector Mujica's April entry into the primary—dropping a U.S. Senate bid citing a clearer path—has drawn attention as a Venezuelan-American challenger to the Cuban-American incumbent, but forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball maintain Safe/Solid R ratings unchanged. Giménez leads fundraising decisively ($644K cash on hand vs. rivals' lower totals as of late March), bolstering defenses against Phil Ehr and primary foes ahead of August 18 closed primaries and November 3 general election. Late scandals or turnout shifts could alter dynamics, though structural leans favor continuity.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$9,223Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez's strong reelection bid in Florida's 28th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican (R+10 Cook PVI) with his 64.6% 2024 general election margin, anchors trader consensus at 89.5% for a GOP win amid Florida's 24-4 Republican congressional map under recent redistricting. Democrat Hector Mujica's April entry into the primary—dropping a U.S. Senate bid citing a clearer path—has drawn attention as a Venezuelan-American challenger to the Cuban-American incumbent, but forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball maintain Safe/Solid R ratings unchanged. Giménez leads fundraising decisively ($644K cash on hand vs. rivals' lower totals as of late March), bolstering defenses against Phil Ehr and primary foes ahead of August 18 closed primaries and November 3 general election. Late scandals or turnout shifts could alter dynamics, though structural leans favor continuity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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