Skip to main content
icon for France United Left Primary Winner
Политика·французский

France United Left Primary Winner

icon for France United Left Primary Winner
Политика·французский

France United Left Primary Winner

Отменено 55%

Marine Tondelier 29%

François Ruffin 12%

Бенжамен Люкас-Люнди 1.1%

Polymarket

$51,276 Объем

Отменено 55%

Marine Tondelier 29%

François Ruffin 12%

Бенжамен Люкас-Люнди 1.1%

Polymarket

$51,276 Объем

icon for Отменено

Отменено

$8,277 Объем

55%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$26,498 Объем

29%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$11,093 Объем

12%

icon for Бенжамен Люкас-Люнди

Бенжамен Люкас-Люнди

$67 Объем

1%

icon for Lydie Massard

Lydie Massard

$1,464 Объем

<1%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$3,877 Объем

<1%

The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election. This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify. If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on the France United Left primary, scheduled for October 11 to select a 2027 presidential candidate, prices cancellation at 55.5% following the Socialist Party's recent fracture, highlighted by Boris Vallaud's resignation on May 9 amid disputes with party head Olivier Faure over primary rules and alliances. Marine Tondelier leads at 28.5% as Greens leader positioning herself as a left unifier after her October 2025 candidacy announcement, bolstered by her emphasis on coalition harmony. François Ruffin holds 11.5% with his May 13 confirmation of running independently absent an open primary, reflecting ongoing negotiations among Nouveau Front Populaire parties amid local election divisions. Upcoming talks could tip the balance before autumn voting.

The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.

This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.

If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$51,276
Дата окончания
11 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election. This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify. If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election. This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify. If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on the France United Left primary, scheduled for October 11 to select a 2027 presidential candidate, prices cancellation at 55.5% following the Socialist Party's recent fracture, highlighted by Boris Vallaud's resignation on May 9 amid disputes with party head Olivier Faure over primary rules and alliances. Marine Tondelier leads at 28.5% as Greens leader positioning herself as a left unifier after her October 2025 candidacy announcement, bolstered by her emphasis on coalition harmony. François Ruffin holds 11.5% with his May 13 confirmation of running independently absent an open primary, reflecting ongoing negotiations among Nouveau Front Populaire parties amid local election divisions. Upcoming talks could tip the balance before autumn voting.

The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.

This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.

If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$51,276
Дата окончания
11 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election. This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify. If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«France United Left Primary Winner» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 6 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Отменено» с 56%, за ним следует «Marine Tondelier» с 28%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 56¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 56%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «France United Left Primary Winner» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $51.3K с момента запуска рынка May 5, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «France United Left Primary Winner», просмотри 6 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «France United Left Primary Winner» — «Отменено» с 56%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 56%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Marine Tondelier» с 28%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «France United Left Primary Winner» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.