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Выборы·Выборы во Франции

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
Выборы·Выборы во Франции

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

НОВОЕ
23 апр. 2027 г.
Polymarket

$9,809 Объем

Polymarket

Éric Zemmour

$87 Объем

41%

Jordan Bardella

$884 Объем

69%

Michel Barnier

$141 Объем

12%

Valérie Pécresse

$156 Объем

11%

Gabriel Attal

$549 Объем

92%

Élisabeth Borne

$81 Объем

45%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$104 Объем

29%

Jean Castex

$64 Объем

20%

Gérald Darmanin

$144 Объем

13%

Sébastien Lecornu

$75 Объем

49%

François Bayrou

$463 Объем

9%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$41 Объем

50%

Carole Delga

$148 Объем

17%

Olivier Faure

$50 Объем

48%

François Hollande

$132 Объем

59%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$81 Объем

50%

Manuel Bompard

$63 Объем

16%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$6,383 Объем

99%

Mathilde Panot

$84 Объем

9%

Dominique de Villepin

$14 Объем

54%

Marine Le Pen

$67 Объем

50%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s May 2026 confirmation of his fourth presidential bid has intensified early positioning for the April 2027 vote, as term-limited Emmanuel Macron prepares to exit office. On the right, Republicans selected Bruno Retailleau in April while former prime minister Édouard Philippe advanced his Horizons-backed campaign following his mayoral re-election. Center-left and centrist figures including Gabriel Attal and Gérald Darmanin continue signaling ambitions without formal declarations, and left-wing parties have scheduled an October 2026 unitary primary to select a single contender. These staggered timelines and internal party negotiations shape trader expectations around which prominent names will cross the formal announcement threshold before year-end.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$9,809
Дата окончания
23 апр. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s May 2026 confirmation of his fourth presidential bid has intensified early positioning for the April 2027 vote, as term-limited Emmanuel Macron prepares to exit office. On the right, Republicans selected Bruno Retailleau in April while former prime minister Édouard Philippe advanced his Horizons-backed campaign following his mayoral re-election. Center-left and centrist figures including Gabriel Attal and Gérald Darmanin continue signaling ambitions without formal declarations, and left-wing parties have scheduled an October 2026 unitary primary to select a single contender. These staggered timelines and internal party negotiations shape trader expectations around which prominent names will cross the formal announcement threshold before year-end.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$9,809
Дата окончания
23 апр. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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«French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 21 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Jean-Luc Mélenchon» с 99%, за ним следует «Gabriel Attal» с 92%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 99¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 99%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 22, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

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Текущий фаворит для «French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?» — «Jean-Luc Mélenchon» с 99%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 99%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Gabriel Attal» с 92%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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