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Выборы·Выборы во Франции

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
Выборы·Выборы во Франции

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

$61,560 Объем

23 апр. 2027 г.
Polymarket

$61,560 Объем

Polymarket

Éric Zemmour

$1,211 Объем

60%

Jordan Bardella

$4,888 Объем

8%

Michel Barnier

$228 Объем

10%

Valérie Pécresse

$476 Объем

8%

Élisabeth Borne

$320 Объем

13%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$587 Объем

6%

Jean Castex

$651 Объем

7%

Gérald Darmanin

$389 Объем

11%

Sébastien Lecornu

$1,721 Объем

13%

François Bayrou

$553 Объем

6%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$348 Объем

50%

Carole Delga

$184 Объем

12%

Olivier Faure

$2,047 Объем

28%

François Hollande

$1,029 Объем

34%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$7,741 Объем

77%

Manuel Bompard

$2,929 Объем

6%

Mathilde Panot

$17,061 Объем

5%

Dominique de Villepin

$247 Объем

47%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.As of August 2026, France’s 2027 presidential race features an unusually crowded field of declared and potential candidates following Emmanuel Macron’s term limit. Multiple high-profile announcements have already occurred this year, including Jean-Luc Mélenchon for La France Insoumise, Gabriel Attal for Renaissance, Bruno Retailleau’s nomination by Les Républicains, and Marine Le Pen’s confirmation of her bid after a court reduced her eligibility restrictions. Édouard Philippe has launched early campaigning for Horizons. With first-round voting set for April 2027, traders monitor party endorsements, polling trends favoring the National Rally, and any remaining legal or coalition developments that could prompt further entries before the end of 2026.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$61,560
Дата окончания
23 апр. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.As of August 2026, France’s 2027 presidential race features an unusually crowded field of declared and potential candidates following Emmanuel Macron’s term limit. Multiple high-profile announcements have already occurred this year, including Jean-Luc Mélenchon for La France Insoumise, Gabriel Attal for Renaissance, Bruno Retailleau’s nomination by Les Républicains, and Marine Le Pen’s confirmation of her bid after a court reduced her eligibility restrictions. Édouard Philippe has launched early campaigning for Horizons. With first-round voting set for April 2027, traders monitor party endorsements, polling trends favoring the National Rally, and any remaining legal or coalition developments that could prompt further entries before the end of 2026.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$61,560
Дата окончания
23 апр. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Связанные

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Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

95%
icon for победит ли Марин Ле Пен на выборах президента Франции 2027 года?

победит ли Марин Ле Пен на выборах президента Франции 2027 года?

33%
Да
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Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

87%

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

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Текущий фаворит для «French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?» — «Gabriel Attal» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Jean-Luc Mélenchon» с 100%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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