GFL Environmental’s active take-private process underpins the 65% market-implied odds for an announcement this year. Multiple infrastructure and private-equity consortia, including a KKR-Energy Capital-Blackstone group and a Brookfield-IFM rival, submitted bids for the roughly $18 billion waste-management firm amid $10 billion in debt, positioning the potential LBO among 2026’s largest. A special committee formed in July continues evaluating proposals, with the board retaining advisers and bidders reportedly offering $50–55 per share. CEO Patrick Dovigi has signaled openness to a higher valuation while committing to roll over his equity stake, citing undervaluation after recent share weakness. Traders are pricing the probability of a deal announcement before year-end against the timeline for committee decisions expected in coming weeks and any final bid improvements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
65% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
65% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if GFL Environmental announces that it has entered into a definitive agreement with any third-party to take the company under completely private ownership by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must provide for the acquisition of 100% of GFL Environmental Inc.'s outstanding publicly traded equity, such that GFL's shares would cease to be listed on public exchanges.
A share repurchase or buyback program will only qualify if it is part of a definitive agreement resulting in the acquisition of 100% of GFL's publicly traded equity and the delisting of its shares.
A merger with or acquisition by another company in which GFL shareholders receive publicly listed equity, or in which GFL or its successor remains publicly traded, will not qualify.
Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, announcements of exploration of options, offers, negotiations, or other non-definitive actions will not qualify.
Agreements covering only a portion of the company will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement of a definitive agreement occurring within the specified timeframe will qualify regardless of whether the deal closes or is later withdrawn.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from GFL Environmental.GFL Environmental’s active take-private process underpins the 65% market-implied odds for an announcement this year. Multiple infrastructure and private-equity consortia, including a KKR-Energy Capital-Blackstone group and a Brookfield-IFM rival, submitted bids for the roughly $18 billion waste-management firm amid $10 billion in debt, positioning the potential LBO among 2026’s largest. A special committee formed in July continues evaluating proposals, with the board retaining advisers and bidders reportedly offering $50–55 per share. CEO Patrick Dovigi has signaled openness to a higher valuation while committing to roll over his equity stake, citing undervaluation after recent share weakness. Traders are pricing the probability of a deal announcement before year-end against the timeline for committee decisions expected in coming weeks and any final bid improvements.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if GFL Environmental announces that it has entered into a definitive agreement with any third-party to take the company under completely private ownership by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must provide for the acquisition of 100% of GFL Environmental Inc.'s outstanding publicly traded equity, such that GFL's shares would cease to be listed on public exchanges.
A share repurchase or buyback program will only qualify if it is part of a definitive agreement resulting in the acquisition of 100% of GFL's publicly traded equity and the delisting of its shares.
A merger with or acquisition by another company in which GFL shareholders receive publicly listed equity, or in which GFL or its successor remains publicly traded, will not qualify.
Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, announcements of exploration of options, offers, negotiations, or other non-definitive actions will not qualify.
Agreements covering only a portion of the company will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement of a definitive agreement occurring within the specified timeframe will qualify regardless of whether the deal closes or is later withdrawn.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from GFL Environmental.
A qualifying agreement must provide for the acquisition of 100% of GFL Environmental Inc.'s outstanding publicly traded equity, such that GFL's shares would cease to be listed on public exchanges.
A share repurchase or buyback program will only qualify if it is part of a definitive agreement resulting in the acquisition of 100% of GFL's publicly traded equity and the delisting of its shares.
A merger with or acquisition by another company in which GFL shareholders receive publicly listed equity, or in which GFL or its successor remains publicly traded, will not qualify.
Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, announcements of exploration of options, offers, negotiations, or other non-definitive actions will not qualify.
Agreements covering only a portion of the company will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement of a definitive agreement occurring within the specified timeframe will qualify regardless of whether the deal closes or is later withdrawn.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from GFL Environmental.
Открытие рынка: Jul 6, 2026, 4:34 PM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 6, 2026, 4:34 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if GFL Environmental announces that it has entered into a definitive agreement with any third-party to take the company under completely private ownership by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must provide for the acquisition of 100% of GFL Environmental Inc.'s outstanding publicly traded equity, such that GFL's shares would cease to be listed on public exchanges.
A share repurchase or buyback program will only qualify if it is part of a definitive agreement resulting in the acquisition of 100% of GFL's publicly traded equity and the delisting of its shares.
A merger with or acquisition by another company in which GFL shareholders receive publicly listed equity, or in which GFL or its successor remains publicly traded, will not qualify.
Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, announcements of exploration of options, offers, negotiations, or other non-definitive actions will not qualify.
Agreements covering only a portion of the company will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement of a definitive agreement occurring within the specified timeframe will qualify regardless of whether the deal closes or is later withdrawn.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from GFL Environmental.GFL Environmental’s active take-private process underpins the 65% market-implied odds for an announcement this year. Multiple infrastructure and private-equity consortia, including a KKR-Energy Capital-Blackstone group and a Brookfield-IFM rival, submitted bids for the roughly $18 billion waste-management firm amid $10 billion in debt, positioning the potential LBO among 2026’s largest. A special committee formed in July continues evaluating proposals, with the board retaining advisers and bidders reportedly offering $50–55 per share. CEO Patrick Dovigi has signaled openness to a higher valuation while committing to roll over his equity stake, citing undervaluation after recent share weakness. Traders are pricing the probability of a deal announcement before year-end against the timeline for committee decisions expected in coming weeks and any final bid improvements.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if GFL Environmental announces that it has entered into a definitive agreement with any third-party to take the company under completely private ownership by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must provide for the acquisition of 100% of GFL Environmental Inc.'s outstanding publicly traded equity, such that GFL's shares would cease to be listed on public exchanges.
A share repurchase or buyback program will only qualify if it is part of a definitive agreement resulting in the acquisition of 100% of GFL's publicly traded equity and the delisting of its shares.
A merger with or acquisition by another company in which GFL shareholders receive publicly listed equity, or in which GFL or its successor remains publicly traded, will not qualify.
Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, announcements of exploration of options, offers, negotiations, or other non-definitive actions will not qualify.
Agreements covering only a portion of the company will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement of a definitive agreement occurring within the specified timeframe will qualify regardless of whether the deal closes or is later withdrawn.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from GFL Environmental.
A qualifying agreement must provide for the acquisition of 100% of GFL Environmental Inc.'s outstanding publicly traded equity, such that GFL's shares would cease to be listed on public exchanges.
A share repurchase or buyback program will only qualify if it is part of a definitive agreement resulting in the acquisition of 100% of GFL's publicly traded equity and the delisting of its shares.
A merger with or acquisition by another company in which GFL shareholders receive publicly listed equity, or in which GFL or its successor remains publicly traded, will not qualify.
Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, announcements of exploration of options, offers, negotiations, or other non-definitive actions will not qualify.
Agreements covering only a portion of the company will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement of a definitive agreement occurring within the specified timeframe will qualify regardless of whether the deal closes or is later withdrawn.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from GFL Environmental.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 6, 2026, 4:34 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...GFL Environmental’s active take-private process underpins the 65% market-implied odds for an announcement this year. Multiple infrastructure and private-equity consortia, including a KKR-Energy Capital-Blackstone group and a Brookfield-IFM rival, submitted bids for the roughly $18 billion waste-management firm amid $10 billion in debt, positioning the potential LBO among 2026’s largest. A special committee formed in July continues evaluating proposals, with the board retaining advisers and bidders reportedly offering $50–55 per share. CEO Patrick Dovigi has signaled openness to a higher valuation while committing to roll over his equity stake, citing undervaluation after recent share weakness. Traders are pricing the probability of a deal announcement before year-end against the timeline for committee decisions expected in coming weeks and any final bid improvements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы