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icon for Победитель выборов мэра Гленорчи

Победитель выборов мэра Гленорчи

icon for Победитель выборов мэра Гленорчи

Победитель выборов мэра Гленорчи

Сью Хики 65%

Рассел Яксле 25%

Натан Вольф 12%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Сью Хики 65%

Рассел Яксле 25%

Натан Вольф 12%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
icon for Сью Хики

Сью Хики

$0 Объем

65%

icon for Рассел Яксле

Рассел Яксле

$10 Объем

25%

icon for Натан Вольф

Натан Вольф

$341 Объем

12%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Glenorchy as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Sue Hickey, the incumbent Glenorchy mayor who won a 2024 by-election after serving as deputy mayor, holds the strongest position in trader pricing ahead of Tasmania’s October 27 local government elections. She publicly confirmed her re-election bid in February 2026, citing ongoing work to improve council finances—now debt-free—and organizational culture. As the election caretaker period approaches in early September, with nominations opening September 7, no other declared candidates have emerged with comparable visibility or institutional backing. Deputy Mayor Russell Yaxley trails as the most prominent alternative, while lower-priced options such as Nathan Volf reflect limited public profile or organizational support at this stage. The wide field of unannounced or low-visibility contenders explains the flat pricing on most alternatives, consistent with the postal-ballot system and compulsory voting that typically reward name recognition and incumbency in Tasmanian council races.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Glenorchy as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Glenorchy as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Объем
$351
Дата окончания
28 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 3:59 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Glenorchy as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Sue Hickey, the incumbent Glenorchy mayor who won a 2024 by-election after serving as deputy mayor, holds the strongest position in trader pricing ahead of Tasmania’s October 27 local government elections. She publicly confirmed her re-election bid in February 2026, citing ongoing work to improve council finances—now debt-free—and organizational culture. As the election caretaker period approaches in early September, with nominations opening September 7, no other declared candidates have emerged with comparable visibility or institutional backing. Deputy Mayor Russell Yaxley trails as the most prominent alternative, while lower-priced options such as Nathan Volf reflect limited public profile or organizational support at this stage. The wide field of unannounced or low-visibility contenders explains the flat pricing on most alternatives, consistent with the postal-ballot system and compulsory voting that typically reward name recognition and incumbency in Tasmanian council races.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Glenorchy as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Glenorchy as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Объем
$351
Дата окончания
28 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 3:59 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов мэра Гленорчи» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 3 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Сью Хики» с 65%, за ним следует «Рассел Яксле» с 25%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 65¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 65%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Победитель выборов мэра Гленорчи» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Sep 3, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов мэра Гленорчи», просмотри 3 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов мэра Гленорчи» — «Сью Хики» с 65%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 65%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Рассел Яксле» с 25%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов мэра Гленорчи» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.