**No charges have been filed against Graham Platner, the former Democratic U.S. Senate candidate from Maine, in connection with a 2021 sexual assault allegation made public in early July 2026, supporting the market's strong 95.8% consensus against charges by August 31.** The allegation, reported by Politico and others, came from Jenny Racicot, a former girlfriend who described a non-consensual encounter in late 2021; Platner has repeatedly and categorically denied it, calling the claims false and politically motivated. He withdrew from the Senate race on July 8–9, 2026, after losing endorsements and support amid the controversy and prior scandals involving past relationships and other issues. As of mid-August 2026 reporting, no formal police complaint, investigation, or prosecutorial action had been initiated, even though the matter falls within the statute of limitations. With only days remaining until the August 31 cutoff, the near-certain trader view reflects the absence of any reported law-enforcement activity, the private nature of the original allegation (which Racicot had not previously taken to authorities), standard investigative timelines for such cases, and Platner's reduced public profile after exiting the race. Realistic scenarios that could still shift the outcome in the final window include a sudden prosecutorial filing based on the existing public record or a last-minute formal complaint by the accuser, though no credible reporting indicates these developments are underway.