Graham Platner secured the Democratic nomination in Maine’s June 9 U.S. Senate primary with approximately 72 percent of the vote after Governor Janet Mills suspended her campaign on April 30, consolidating support behind the oyster farmer and Marine veteran. Traders assign overwhelming probability to the 70-75 percent bracket because Platner’s grassroots fundraising, rural endorsements, and populist economic messaging produced record primary turnout that far exceeded prior Democratic Senate contests in the state. Ranked-choice voting and minimal remaining opposition further locked in the outcome. Certification delays, successful legal challenges to results, or unexpected recounts represent the narrow scenarios that could still alter final certified tallies before market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено70-75% 95.3%
65-70% 2.3%
80-85% 2.0%
75-80% 1.1%
$15,920 Объем
$15,920 Объем
9 июн. 2026 г.
<65%
1%
65-70%
2%
70-75%
95%
75-80%
1%
80-85%
2%
85-90%
<1%
90%+
<1%
70-75% 95.3%
65-70% 2.3%
80-85% 2.0%
75-80% 1.1%
$15,920 Объем
$15,920 Объем
9 июн. 2026 г.
<65%
$2,267 Объем
1%
65-70%
$2,343 Объем
2%
70-75%
$4,357 Объем
95%
75-80%
$2,823 Объем
1%
80-85%
$1,986 Объем
2%
85-90%
$1,066 Объем
<1%
90%+
$1,079 Объем
<1%
Primary elections in Maine are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Graham Platner wins in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Maine, such as official statewide results published by the Maine Secretary of State (https://www.maine.gov/sos/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Graham Platner secured the Democratic nomination in Maine’s June 9 U.S. Senate primary with approximately 72 percent of the vote after Governor Janet Mills suspended her campaign on April 30, consolidating support behind the oyster farmer and Marine veteran. Traders assign overwhelming probability to the 70-75 percent bracket because Platner’s grassroots fundraising, rural endorsements, and populist economic messaging produced record primary turnout that far exceeded prior Democratic Senate contests in the state. Ranked-choice voting and minimal remaining opposition further locked in the outcome. Certification delays, successful legal challenges to results, or unexpected recounts represent the narrow scenarios that could still alter final certified tallies before market resolution.
Primary elections in Maine are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Graham Platner wins in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Maine, such as official statewide results published by the Maine Secretary of State (https://www.maine.gov/sos/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Graham Platner wins in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Maine, such as official statewide results published by the Maine Secretary of State (https://www.maine.gov/sos/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Открытие рынка: Jun 8, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
Объем
$15,920Дата окончания
9 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 8, 2026, 1:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in Maine are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Graham Platner wins in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Maine, such as official statewide results published by the Maine Secretary of State (https://www.maine.gov/sos/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Graham Platner secured the Democratic nomination in Maine’s June 9 U.S. Senate primary with approximately 72 percent of the vote after Governor Janet Mills suspended her campaign on April 30, consolidating support behind the oyster farmer and Marine veteran. Traders assign overwhelming probability to the 70-75 percent bracket because Platner’s grassroots fundraising, rural endorsements, and populist economic messaging produced record primary turnout that far exceeded prior Democratic Senate contests in the state. Ranked-choice voting and minimal remaining opposition further locked in the outcome. Certification delays, successful legal challenges to results, or unexpected recounts represent the narrow scenarios that could still alter final certified tallies before market resolution.
Primary elections in Maine are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Graham Platner wins in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Maine, such as official statewide results published by the Maine Secretary of State (https://www.maine.gov/sos/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Graham Platner wins in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Maine, such as official statewide results published by the Maine Secretary of State (https://www.maine.gov/sos/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Объем
$15,920Дата окончания
9 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 8, 2026, 1:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Graham Platner secured the Democratic nomination in Maine’s June 9 U.S. Senate primary with approximately 72 percent of the vote after Governor Janet Mills suspended her campaign on April 30, consolidating support behind the oyster farmer and Marine veteran. Traders assign overwhelming probability to the 70-75 percent bracket because Platner’s grassroots fundraising, rural endorsements, and populist economic messaging produced record primary turnout that far exceeded prior Democratic Senate contests in the state. Ranked-choice voting and minimal remaining opposition further locked in the outcome. Certification delays, successful legal challenges to results, or unexpected recounts represent the narrow scenarios that could still alter final certified tallies before market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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