Beatriz Mojica Morga holds an overwhelming lead in trader pricing for the Guerrero gubernatorial election scheduled for June 2027, reflecting Morena’s dominant position in the state and her recent selection as the party’s state coordinator for the Defense of the Transformation. In September 2026, Mojica prevailed in Morena’s internal process after surveys showed her topping metrics for recognition, positive opinion, and voter preference among multiple aspirants, including Esthela Damián Peralta and Abelina López Rodríguez. External polling, such as El Financiero’s September survey, placed her at 44% intention to vote against lower shares for PRI’s Manuel Añorve Baños and other opposition figures, consistent with Morena’s roughly 46% party preference. Her background as a senator, former PRD legislator, and local organizer, combined with backing from the current state leadership, has consolidated support ahead of formal coalition alignment with PT and PVEM. The wide gap in implied probabilities aligns with Morena’s structural advantages in Guerrero, though the nine-month timeline leaves room for shifts from coalition dynamics or campaign developments.