The Guerrero 2027 gubernatorial race remains fragmented ahead of party nominations, with Morena holding a commanding lead in recent July 2026 polling at 42-63% statewide intention while the PRI trails far behind. Internal Morena dynamics center on Beatriz Mojica Morga’s consistent edge in preference surveys over Pablo Amílcar Sandoval, Esthela Damián Peralta and others, reflecting strong party branding and voter consolidation around the ruling coalition. Opposition candidates such as Manuel Añorve Baños face structural barriers from a divided field and low single-digit to low-20s support in head-to-head matchups. Trader pricing reflects early-stage uncertainty over nomination outcomes and potential coalition shifts rather than decisive momentum for any individual contender, with separation likely to emerge from official party selections or late 2026 polling clarity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоManuel Añorve Baños 32%
Yesenia Galarza Castro 29%
Héctor Astudillo Flores 28%
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros 27%

Manuel Añorve Baños
32%

Yesenia Galarza Castro
29%

Héctor Astudillo Flores
28%

Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
27%

Genaro Vázquez Flores
23%

Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
22%

Mario Moreno Arcos
20%

Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
20%

Beatriz Mojica Morga
17%

Abelina López Rodríguez
16%

Javier Saldaña Almazán
15%

Rogelio Ortega Martínez
10%

Carlos Reyes Torres
25%

Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
7%

Rubén Cayetano García
7%

Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
7%

Julián López Galeana
7%

Eloy Salmerón Díaz
7%

Esthela Damián Peralta
6%

Alberto López Rosas
5%

Iván Hernández Díaz
5%

Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
16%

Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
27%

Guadalupe Eguiluz
15%

Karen Castrejón Trujillo
21%

Félix Salgado Macedonio
31%

Alejandro Bravo Abarca
39%

Erika Lorena Lührs
34%
Manuel Añorve Baños 32%
Yesenia Galarza Castro 29%
Héctor Astudillo Flores 28%
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros 27%

Manuel Añorve Baños
32%

Yesenia Galarza Castro
29%

Héctor Astudillo Flores
28%

Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
27%

Genaro Vázquez Flores
23%

Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
22%

Mario Moreno Arcos
20%

Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
20%

Beatriz Mojica Morga
17%

Abelina López Rodríguez
16%

Javier Saldaña Almazán
15%

Rogelio Ortega Martínez
10%

Carlos Reyes Torres
25%

Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
7%

Rubén Cayetano García
7%

Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
7%

Julián López Galeana
7%

Eloy Salmerón Díaz
7%

Esthela Damián Peralta
6%

Alberto López Rosas
5%

Iván Hernández Díaz
5%

Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
16%

Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
27%

Guadalupe Eguiluz
15%

Karen Castrejón Trujillo
21%

Félix Salgado Macedonio
31%

Alejandro Bravo Abarca
39%

Erika Lorena Lührs
34%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Открытие рынка: Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Guerrero 2027 gubernatorial race remains fragmented ahead of party nominations, with Morena holding a commanding lead in recent July 2026 polling at 42-63% statewide intention while the PRI trails far behind. Internal Morena dynamics center on Beatriz Mojica Morga’s consistent edge in preference surveys over Pablo Amílcar Sandoval, Esthela Damián Peralta and others, reflecting strong party branding and voter consolidation around the ruling coalition. Opposition candidates such as Manuel Añorve Baños face structural barriers from a divided field and low single-digit to low-20s support in head-to-head matchups. Trader pricing reflects early-stage uncertainty over nomination outcomes and potential coalition shifts rather than decisive momentum for any individual contender, with separation likely to emerge from official party selections or late 2026 polling clarity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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