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icon for Хамад бин Иса Аль Халифа покинет пост лидера Бахрейна к...?

Хамад бин Иса Аль Халифа покинет пост лидера Бахрейна к...?

icon for Хамад бин Иса Аль Халифа покинет пост лидера Бахрейна к...?

Хамад бин Иса Аль Халифа покинет пост лидера Бахрейна к...?

$164,861 Объем

30 июн. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$164,861 Объем

Polymarket

30 июня

$163,906 Объем

3%

31 декабря

$955 Объем

13%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe. An announcement of Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe. An announcement of Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.King Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa continues to exercise direct authority as Bahrain’s monarch, issuing royal decrees to extend the current parliamentary term until December 2026 and directing responses to regional security developments tied to tensions with Iran. The crown prince and prime minister, Salman bin Hamad Al Khalifa, handles day-to-day governance and has been tasked with implementing defense and economic measures, reinforcing institutional continuity within the Al Khalifa dynasty. No public statements, health concerns, or political pressures have emerged indicating an imminent transition, abdication, or removal before the June 30, 2026 resolution date. Succession follows agnatic primogeniture among the king’s male descendants, a process that has proceeded without disruption in recent years. Traders appear to price the low probability of change based on the absence of any catalyst that would alter this stable monarchical structure in the short term.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe.

An announcement of Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$164,861
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 4, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe. An announcement of Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe. An announcement of Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe. An announcement of Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.King Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa continues to exercise direct authority as Bahrain’s monarch, issuing royal decrees to extend the current parliamentary term until December 2026 and directing responses to regional security developments tied to tensions with Iran. The crown prince and prime minister, Salman bin Hamad Al Khalifa, handles day-to-day governance and has been tasked with implementing defense and economic measures, reinforcing institutional continuity within the Al Khalifa dynasty. No public statements, health concerns, or political pressures have emerged indicating an imminent transition, abdication, or removal before the June 30, 2026 resolution date. Succession follows agnatic primogeniture among the king’s male descendants, a process that has proceeded without disruption in recent years. Traders appear to price the low probability of change based on the absence of any catalyst that would alter this stable monarchical structure in the short term.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe.

An announcement of Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$164,861
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 4, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe. An announcement of Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Хамад бин Иса Аль Халифа покинет пост лидера Бахрейна к...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «31 декабря» с 13%, за ним следует «30 июня» с 3%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 13¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 13%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Хамад бин Иса Аль Халифа покинет пост лидера Бахрейна к...?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $164.9K с момента запуска рынка Mar 4, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Хамад бин Иса Аль Халифа покинет пост лидера Бахрейна к...?», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Хамад бин Иса Аль Халифа покинет пост лидера Бахрейна к...?» — «31 декабря» с 13%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 13%. Следующий ближайший исход — «30 июня» с 3%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Хамад бин Иса Аль Халифа покинет пост лидера Бахрейна к...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.