The Democratic nominee holds a commanding position in the Hawaii governor race due to incumbent Josh Green's strong approval rating and the state's longstanding Democratic dominance in statewide contests. Green, who won election in 2022, benefits from voter recognition tied to his handling of the 2023 Maui wildfires and steady performance in office, with forecasters rating the contest as solidly Democratic. No prominent Republican challengers have emerged ahead of the August 2026 primaries, leaving the general election field likely limited and the outcome heavily shaped by Hawaii's partisan lean. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican primary winner could narrow the gap, though current conditions point to limited volatility before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Гавайев
Победитель выборов губернатора Гавайев
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
91%
Республиканец
8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
$2,851 Объем
91%
Республиканец
$4,019 Объем
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The Democratic nominee holds a commanding position in the Hawaii governor race due to incumbent Josh Green's strong approval rating and the state's longstanding Democratic dominance in statewide contests. Green, who won election in 2022, benefits from voter recognition tied to his handling of the 2023 Maui wildfires and steady performance in office, with forecasters rating the contest as solidly Democratic. No prominent Republican challengers have emerged ahead of the August 2026 primaries, leaving the general election field likely limited and the outcome heavily shaped by Hawaii's partisan lean. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican primary winner could narrow the gap, though current conditions point to limited volatility before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Объем
$6,871Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The Democratic nominee holds a commanding position in the Hawaii governor race due to incumbent Josh Green's strong approval rating and the state's longstanding Democratic dominance in statewide contests. Green, who won election in 2022, benefits from voter recognition tied to his handling of the 2023 Maui wildfires and steady performance in office, with forecasters rating the contest as solidly Democratic. No prominent Republican challengers have emerged ahead of the August 2026 primaries, leaving the general election field likely limited and the outcome heavily shaped by Hawaii's partisan lean. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican primary winner could narrow the gap, though current conditions point to limited volatility before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$6,871Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic nominee holds a commanding position in the Hawaii governor race due to incumbent Josh Green's strong approval rating and the state's longstanding Democratic dominance in statewide contests. Green, who won election in 2022, benefits from voter recognition tied to his handling of the 2023 Maui wildfires and steady performance in office, with forecasters rating the contest as solidly Democratic. No prominent Republican challengers have emerged ahead of the August 2026 primaries, leaving the general election field likely limited and the outcome heavily shaped by Hawaii's partisan lean. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican primary winner could narrow the gap, though current conditions point to limited volatility before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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