Moonshot AI’s July 2026 release of Kimi K3, its 2.8-trillion-parameter open-weights model with native vision and a 1-million-token context window, has driven recent trader sentiment by lifting reported HLE scores to the mid-40s to mid-50s percent range depending on protocol and tool use. This places Kimi K3 near but still behind leaders such as Claude Fable 5.1 (59–65 percent on September 2026 leaderboards). Iterative gains from prior K2.5–K2.7 releases, combined with open weights enabling community fine-tuning and agentic workflows, support expectations of further progress through year-end. Key variables include the gap between tool-augmented and closed-book evaluations, additional model updates, and competitive pressure from Anthropic and OpenAI releases.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамый высокий балл по шкале Кими на последнем экзамене человечества в 2026 году?
Самый высокий балл по шкале Кими на последнем экзамене человечества в 2026 году?
$63,024 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
45%+
85%
50%+
30%
55%+
19%
60%+
11%
65%+
7%
$63,024 Объем
45%+
$15,385 Объем
85%
50%+
$24,430 Объем
30%
55%+
$11,805 Объем
19%
60%+
$9,733 Объем
11%
65%+
$1,832 Объем
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Moonshot Kimi model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Moonshot AI’s July 2026 release of Kimi K3, its 2.8-trillion-parameter open-weights model with native vision and a 1-million-token context window, has driven recent trader sentiment by lifting reported HLE scores to the mid-40s to mid-50s percent range depending on protocol and tool use. This places Kimi K3 near but still behind leaders such as Claude Fable 5.1 (59–65 percent on September 2026 leaderboards). Iterative gains from prior K2.5–K2.7 releases, combined with open weights enabling community fine-tuning and agentic workflows, support expectations of further progress through year-end. Key variables include the gap between tool-augmented and closed-book evaluations, additional model updates, and competitive pressure from Anthropic and OpenAI releases.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Moonshot Kimi model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Открытие рынка: Jul 23, 2026, 6:43 PM ET
Объем
$63,024Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 23, 2026, 6:43 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://agi.safe.ai/Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Moonshot Kimi model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Moonshot AI’s July 2026 release of Kimi K3, its 2.8-trillion-parameter open-weights model with native vision and a 1-million-token context window, has driven recent trader sentiment by lifting reported HLE scores to the mid-40s to mid-50s percent range depending on protocol and tool use. This places Kimi K3 near but still behind leaders such as Claude Fable 5.1 (59–65 percent on September 2026 leaderboards). Iterative gains from prior K2.5–K2.7 releases, combined with open weights enabling community fine-tuning and agentic workflows, support expectations of further progress through year-end. Key variables include the gap between tool-augmented and closed-book evaluations, additional model updates, and competitive pressure from Anthropic and OpenAI releases.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Moonshot Kimi model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Объем
$63,024Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 23, 2026, 6:43 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://agi.safe.ai/Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Moonshot AI’s July 2026 release of Kimi K3, its 2.8-trillion-parameter open-weights model with native vision and a 1-million-token context window, has driven recent trader sentiment by lifting reported HLE scores to the mid-40s to mid-50s percent range depending on protocol and tool use. This places Kimi K3 near but still behind leaders such as Claude Fable 5.1 (59–65 percent on September 2026 leaderboards). Iterative gains from prior K2.5–K2.7 releases, combined with open weights enabling community fine-tuning and agentic workflows, support expectations of further progress through year-end. Key variables include the gap between tool-augmented and closed-book evaluations, additional model updates, and competitive pressure from Anthropic and OpenAI releases.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Будет ли наивысший балл, набранный на Последнем экзамене человечества в 2026 году, равен 60% или выше?
45%
Да
Достигнет ли максимальный балл, набранный моделью OpenAI на Последнем Экзамене Человечества в 2026 году, 55% или больше?
77%
Да
Будет ли максимальный результат, достигнутый моделью Meta на Последнем экзамене человечества в 2026 году, 55% или выше?
26%
Да
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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