Moonshot AI’s July 2026 release of Kimi K3, its 2.8-trillion-parameter open-weights model with native vision and a 1-million-token context window, has driven recent trader sentiment by lifting reported HLE scores to the mid-40s to mid-50s percent range depending on protocol and tool use. This places Kimi K3 near but still behind leaders such as Claude Fable 5.1 (59–65 percent on September 2026 leaderboards). Iterative gains from prior K2.5–K2.7 releases, combined with open weights enabling community fine-tuning and agentic workflows, support expectations of further progress through year-end. Key variables include the gap between tool-augmented and closed-book evaluations, additional model updates, and competitive pressure from Anthropic and OpenAI releases.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамый высокий балл по шкале Кими на последнем экзамене человечества в 2026 году?
$63,024 Объем
45%+
85%
50%+
30%
55%+
19%
60%+
11%
65%+
7%
$63,024 Объем
45%+
85%
50%+
30%
55%+
19%
60%+
11%
65%+
7%
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Открытие рынка: Jul 23, 2026, 6:43 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://agi.safe.ai/Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Источник определения исхода
https://agi.safe.ai/Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Moonshot AI’s July 2026 release of Kimi K3, its 2.8-trillion-parameter open-weights model with native vision and a 1-million-token context window, has driven recent trader sentiment by lifting reported HLE scores to the mid-40s to mid-50s percent range depending on protocol and tool use. This places Kimi K3 near but still behind leaders such as Claude Fable 5.1 (59–65 percent on September 2026 leaderboards). Iterative gains from prior K2.5–K2.7 releases, combined with open weights enabling community fine-tuning and agentic workflows, support expectations of further progress through year-end. Key variables include the gap between tool-augmented and closed-book evaluations, additional model updates, and competitive pressure from Anthropic and OpenAI releases.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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