Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 currently lead public HLE leaderboards at 59–65% in tool-augmented and high-reasoning configurations, ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra at roughly 54.7% and earlier GPT-5.4/5.5 Pro variants around 57–58%. Recent model releases and agentic scaffolding have driven these gaps, with Anthropic models showing stronger performance on expert-level math, science, and humanities questions that resist saturation. OpenAI continues advancing reasoning agents and internal capabilities, yet no confirmed late-2026 release has overtaken the frontier. Traders watch for additional frontier drops, benchmark protocol shifts, and whether OpenAI’s next models close the gap before year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамый высокий балл OpenAI на последнем экзамене человечества в 2026 году?
Самый высокий балл OpenAI на последнем экзамене человечества в 2026 году?
$107,737 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
55%+
78%
60%+
32%
65%+
16%
70%+
10%
$107,737 Объем
55%+
$34,352 Объем
78%
60%+
$41,111 Объем
32%
65%+
$9,428 Объем
16%
70%+
$5,516 Объем
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 currently lead public HLE leaderboards at 59–65% in tool-augmented and high-reasoning configurations, ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra at roughly 54.7% and earlier GPT-5.4/5.5 Pro variants around 57–58%. Recent model releases and agentic scaffolding have driven these gaps, with Anthropic models showing stronger performance on expert-level math, science, and humanities questions that resist saturation. OpenAI continues advancing reasoning agents and internal capabilities, yet no confirmed late-2026 release has overtaken the frontier. Traders watch for additional frontier drops, benchmark protocol shifts, and whether OpenAI’s next models close the gap before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Открытие рынка: Jul 23, 2026, 6:53 PM ET
Объем
$107,737Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 23, 2026, 6:53 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 currently lead public HLE leaderboards at 59–65% in tool-augmented and high-reasoning configurations, ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra at roughly 54.7% and earlier GPT-5.4/5.5 Pro variants around 57–58%. Recent model releases and agentic scaffolding have driven these gaps, with Anthropic models showing stronger performance on expert-level math, science, and humanities questions that resist saturation. OpenAI continues advancing reasoning agents and internal capabilities, yet no confirmed late-2026 release has overtaken the frontier. Traders watch for additional frontier drops, benchmark protocol shifts, and whether OpenAI’s next models close the gap before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Объем
$107,737Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 23, 2026, 6:53 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 currently lead public HLE leaderboards at 59–65% in tool-augmented and high-reasoning configurations, ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra at roughly 54.7% and earlier GPT-5.4/5.5 Pro variants around 57–58%. Recent model releases and agentic scaffolding have driven these gaps, with Anthropic models showing stronger performance on expert-level math, science, and humanities questions that resist saturation. OpenAI continues advancing reasoning agents and internal capabilities, yet no confirmed late-2026 release has overtaken the frontier. Traders watch for additional frontier drops, benchmark protocol shifts, and whether OpenAI’s next models close the gap before year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Будет ли наивысший балл, набранный на Последнем экзамене человечества в 2026 году, равен 60% или выше?
44%
Да
Будет ли максимальный результат, достигнутый моделью Meta на Последнем экзамене человечества в 2026 году, 55% или выше?
26%
Да
Даст ли любая модель Anthropic Claude результат 55% или выше на Humanity’s Last Exam в 2026 году?
86%
Да
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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