Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the ECMWF and national meteorological services points to a peak temperature in Istanbul on June 29, 2026, most likely between 28°C and 29°C, reflecting typical late-June Mediterranean conditions with moderate southwesterly flow and sea-breeze moderation from the Bosphorus. Ensemble spreads show limited potential for 27°C under increased cloud cover or stronger onshore winds, while 30°C or higher would require clearer skies and enhanced warm advection. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs against historical climatology, where daily maxima average near 27°C, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the modal outcomes amid normal forecast uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 29 июня?
Самая высокая температура в Стамбуле 29 июня?
29°C 52%
28°C 24%
30°C 14%
31°C 4.5%
НОВОЕ
$12,398 Объем
НОВОЕ
$12,398 Объем
29 июн. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
24%
29°C
52%
30°C
14%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C или выше
<1%
29°C 52%
28°C 24%
30°C 14%
31°C 4.5%
НОВОЕ
$12,398 Объем
НОВОЕ
$12,398 Объем
29 июн. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
$382 Объем
1%
26°C
$785 Объем
1%
27°C
$1,940 Объем
5%
28°C
$1,796 Объем
24%
29°C
$5,199 Объем
52%
30°C
$747 Объем
14%
31°C
$374 Объем
5%
32°C
$253 Объем
1%
33°C
$355 Объем
<1%
34°C
$254 Объем
<1%
35°C или выше
$313 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the ECMWF and national meteorological services points to a peak temperature in Istanbul on June 29, 2026, most likely between 28°C and 29°C, reflecting typical late-June Mediterranean conditions with moderate southwesterly flow and sea-breeze moderation from the Bosphorus. Ensemble spreads show limited potential for 27°C under increased cloud cover or stronger onshore winds, while 30°C or higher would require clearer skies and enhanced warm advection. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs against historical climatology, where daily maxima average near 27°C, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the modal outcomes amid normal forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 27, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$12,398Дата окончания
29 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 27, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the ECMWF and national meteorological services points to a peak temperature in Istanbul on June 29, 2026, most likely between 28°C and 29°C, reflecting typical late-June Mediterranean conditions with moderate southwesterly flow and sea-breeze moderation from the Bosphorus. Ensemble spreads show limited potential for 27°C under increased cloud cover or stronger onshore winds, while 30°C or higher would require clearer skies and enhanced warm advection. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs against historical climatology, where daily maxima average near 27°C, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the modal outcomes amid normal forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$12,398Дата окончания
29 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 27, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the ECMWF and national meteorological services points to a peak temperature in Istanbul on June 29, 2026, most likely between 28°C and 29°C, reflecting typical late-June Mediterranean conditions with moderate southwesterly flow and sea-breeze moderation from the Bosphorus. Ensemble spreads show limited potential for 27°C under increased cloud cover or stronger onshore winds, while 30°C or higher would require clearer skies and enhanced warm advection. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs against historical climatology, where daily maxima average near 27°C, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the modal outcomes amid normal forecast uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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