A strong El Niño event has created persistently high wind shear and cooler Atlantic sea surface temperatures, suppressing tropical cyclone intensification and driving the current market pricing. As of mid-September 2026, the basin has recorded only five named tropical storms and zero hurricanes, shattering the satellite-era record for the latest first hurricane past the climatological peak around September 10. This activity level sits at roughly 7% of normal accumulated cyclone energy. With the season extending through November 30, forecasters note lingering unfavorable conditions that keep a zero-hurricane outcome plausible, while historical precedent and residual late-season windows support the leading 1-3 range implied by trader consensus. NOAA’s August outlook projected 2-6 hurricanes under below-normal conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСколько ураганов сформируется во время сезона атлантических ураганов в 2026 году?
Сколько ураганов сформируется во время сезона атлантических ураганов в 2026 году?
1-3 62%
0 37%
4-6 3.5%
7+ <1%
$31,305 Объем
$31,305 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
0
37%
1-3
62%
4-6
3%
7+
<1%
1-3 62%
0 37%
4-6 3.5%
7+ <1%
$31,305 Объем
$31,305 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
0
$17,015 Объем
37%
1-3
$5,372 Объем
62%
4-6
$6,694 Объем
3%
7+
$2,224 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.A strong El Niño event has created persistently high wind shear and cooler Atlantic sea surface temperatures, suppressing tropical cyclone intensification and driving the current market pricing. As of mid-September 2026, the basin has recorded only five named tropical storms and zero hurricanes, shattering the satellite-era record for the latest first hurricane past the climatological peak around September 10. This activity level sits at roughly 7% of normal accumulated cyclone energy. With the season extending through November 30, forecasters note lingering unfavorable conditions that keep a zero-hurricane outcome plausible, while historical precedent and residual late-season windows support the leading 1-3 range implied by trader consensus. NOAA’s August outlook projected 2-6 hurricanes under below-normal conditions.
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
Открытие рынка: Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
Объем
$31,305Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.A strong El Niño event has created persistently high wind shear and cooler Atlantic sea surface temperatures, suppressing tropical cyclone intensification and driving the current market pricing. As of mid-September 2026, the basin has recorded only five named tropical storms and zero hurricanes, shattering the satellite-era record for the latest first hurricane past the climatological peak around September 10. This activity level sits at roughly 7% of normal accumulated cyclone energy. With the season extending through November 30, forecasters note lingering unfavorable conditions that keep a zero-hurricane outcome plausible, while historical precedent and residual late-season windows support the leading 1-3 range implied by trader consensus. NOAA’s August outlook projected 2-6 hurricanes under below-normal conditions.
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
Объем
$31,305Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...A strong El Niño event has created persistently high wind shear and cooler Atlantic sea surface temperatures, suppressing tropical cyclone intensification and driving the current market pricing. As of mid-September 2026, the basin has recorded only five named tropical storms and zero hurricanes, shattering the satellite-era record for the latest first hurricane past the climatological peak around September 10. This activity level sits at roughly 7% of normal accumulated cyclone energy. With the season extending through November 30, forecasters note lingering unfavorable conditions that keep a zero-hurricane outcome plausible, while historical precedent and residual late-season windows support the leading 1-3 range implied by trader consensus. NOAA’s August outlook projected 2-6 hurricanes under below-normal conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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