NOAA's August 2026 update maintains a below-normal Atlantic hurricane outlook, citing a developing strong El Niño that increases vertical wind shear and stabilizes the atmosphere, suppressing tropical cyclone intensification. As of mid-August, only three named storms (Arthur, Bertha, Cristobal) have formed—all tropical storms—with zero hurricanes recorded, well below the 1991-2020 average pace. Forecasters project 2-6 hurricanes for the full season (June-November), with the peak period ahead but limited by these conditions. Trader sentiment splits between 1-3 and 4-6 outcomes because model runs show variability in El Niño strength and any late-season steering patterns or reduced shear that could allow one or two additional systems to reach 74 mph winds before November 30.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСколько ураганов сформируется во время сезона атлантических ураганов в 2026 году?
Сколько ураганов сформируется во время сезона атлантических ураганов в 2026 году?
4-6 46%
1-3 42%
7+ 7%
0 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
0
7%
1-3
42%
4-6
43%
7+
18%
4-6 46%
1-3 42%
7+ 7%
0 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
0
$233 Объем
7%
1-3
$310 Объем
42%
4-6
$335 Объем
43%
7+
$125 Объем
18%
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.NOAA's August 2026 update maintains a below-normal Atlantic hurricane outlook, citing a developing strong El Niño that increases vertical wind shear and stabilizes the atmosphere, suppressing tropical cyclone intensification. As of mid-August, only three named storms (Arthur, Bertha, Cristobal) have formed—all tropical storms—with zero hurricanes recorded, well below the 1991-2020 average pace. Forecasters project 2-6 hurricanes for the full season (June-November), with the peak period ahead but limited by these conditions. Trader sentiment splits between 1-3 and 4-6 outcomes because model runs show variability in El Niño strength and any late-season steering patterns or reduced shear that could allow one or two additional systems to reach 74 mph winds before November 30.
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
Открытие рынка: Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
Объем
$1,002Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.NOAA's August 2026 update maintains a below-normal Atlantic hurricane outlook, citing a developing strong El Niño that increases vertical wind shear and stabilizes the atmosphere, suppressing tropical cyclone intensification. As of mid-August, only three named storms (Arthur, Bertha, Cristobal) have formed—all tropical storms—with zero hurricanes recorded, well below the 1991-2020 average pace. Forecasters project 2-6 hurricanes for the full season (June-November), with the peak period ahead but limited by these conditions. Trader sentiment splits between 1-3 and 4-6 outcomes because model runs show variability in El Niño strength and any late-season steering patterns or reduced shear that could allow one or two additional systems to reach 74 mph winds before November 30.
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
Объем
$1,002Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...NOAA's August 2026 update maintains a below-normal Atlantic hurricane outlook, citing a developing strong El Niño that increases vertical wind shear and stabilizes the atmosphere, suppressing tropical cyclone intensification. As of mid-August, only three named storms (Arthur, Bertha, Cristobal) have formed—all tropical storms—with zero hurricanes recorded, well below the 1991-2020 average pace. Forecasters project 2-6 hurricanes for the full season (June-November), with the peak period ahead but limited by these conditions. Trader sentiment splits between 1-3 and 4-6 outcomes because model runs show variability in El Niño strength and any late-season steering patterns or reduced shear that could allow one or two additional systems to reach 74 mph winds before November 30.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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