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icon for Ху Цзиньтао появится на публике 31 декабря?

Ху Цзиньтао появится на публике 31 декабря?

icon for Ху Цзиньтао появится на публике 31 декабря?

Ху Цзиньтао появится на публике 31 декабря?

Да

20% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Да

20% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former President of the People's Republic of China, Hu Jintao, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (Beijing Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hu Jintao, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Hu Jintao, now 83, has maintained an extremely low public profile since retiring in 2012, with his last verified appearance in December 2022 at Jiang Zemin’s funeral rites. Chinese state media and official protocols treat retired paramount leaders as largely absent from formal events, and no confirmed sightings or scheduled appearances have occurred since. Recent unverified reports from early 2026 referenced Hu among officials sending condolences after a senior military figure’s death, but these did not constitute public events or alter the pattern of seclusion. Traders assign roughly 80% probability to no appearance by year-end because his age and documented frailty, combined with the Chinese Communist Party’s emphasis on managed imagery around elders, create significant structural barriers absent an extraordinary official announcement.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former President of the People's Republic of China, Hu Jintao, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (Beijing Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hu Jintao, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Объем
$1,534
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former President of the People's Republic of China, Hu Jintao, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (Beijing Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hu Jintao, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former President of the People's Republic of China, Hu Jintao, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (Beijing Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hu Jintao, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Hu Jintao, now 83, has maintained an extremely low public profile since retiring in 2012, with his last verified appearance in December 2022 at Jiang Zemin’s funeral rites. Chinese state media and official protocols treat retired paramount leaders as largely absent from formal events, and no confirmed sightings or scheduled appearances have occurred since. Recent unverified reports from early 2026 referenced Hu among officials sending condolences after a senior military figure’s death, but these did not constitute public events or alter the pattern of seclusion. Traders assign roughly 80% probability to no appearance by year-end because his age and documented frailty, combined with the Chinese Communist Party’s emphasis on managed imagery around elders, create significant structural barriers absent an extraordinary official announcement.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former President of the People's Republic of China, Hu Jintao, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (Beijing Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hu Jintao, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Объем
$1,534
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former President of the People's Republic of China, Hu Jintao, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (Beijing Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hu Jintao, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Ху Цзиньтао появится на публике 31 декабря?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Появится ли Ху Цзиньтао публично до 31 декабря?» с 20%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 20¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 20%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Ху Цзиньтао появится на публике 31 декабря?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 13, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Ху Цзиньтао появится на публике 31 декабря?», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Ху Цзиньтао появится на публике 31 декабря?» — «Появится ли Ху Цзиньтао публично до 31 декабря?» с 20%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 20%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Ху Цзиньтао появится на публике 31 декабря?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.