Hu Jintao, now in his mid-80s, has maintained an extremely low public profile since his escorted departure from the 2022 Party Congress, with his most recent verified appearance occurring at Jiang Zemin’s December 2022 funeral. Subsequent years brought reports of recurring health issues, including new problems noted through mid-2025, while official mentions in early 2026 were limited to private condolences or hospital visits alongside other elders rather than formal events. Chinese political norms for retired leaders emphasize minimal visibility absent major ceremonies or leadership transitions, and no such scheduled occasions align with the remaining 2026 calendar that would compel an appearance. Traders price the “No” outcome at 79.8% because age-related frailty and the absence of recent confirmed sightings point to continued seclusion through year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
20% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
20% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former President of the People's Republic of China, Hu Jintao, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (Beijing Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hu Jintao, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Hu Jintao, now in his mid-80s, has maintained an extremely low public profile since his escorted departure from the 2022 Party Congress, with his most recent verified appearance occurring at Jiang Zemin’s December 2022 funeral. Subsequent years brought reports of recurring health issues, including new problems noted through mid-2025, while official mentions in early 2026 were limited to private condolences or hospital visits alongside other elders rather than formal events. Chinese political norms for retired leaders emphasize minimal visibility absent major ceremonies or leadership transitions, and no such scheduled occasions align with the remaining 2026 calendar that would compel an appearance. Traders price the “No” outcome at 79.8% because age-related frailty and the absence of recent confirmed sightings point to continued seclusion through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former President of the People's Republic of China, Hu Jintao, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (Beijing Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hu Jintao, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hu Jintao, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Объем
$1,535Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former President of the People's Republic of China, Hu Jintao, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (Beijing Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hu Jintao, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Hu Jintao, now in his mid-80s, has maintained an extremely low public profile since his escorted departure from the 2022 Party Congress, with his most recent verified appearance occurring at Jiang Zemin’s December 2022 funeral. Subsequent years brought reports of recurring health issues, including new problems noted through mid-2025, while official mentions in early 2026 were limited to private condolences or hospital visits alongside other elders rather than formal events. Chinese political norms for retired leaders emphasize minimal visibility absent major ceremonies or leadership transitions, and no such scheduled occasions align with the remaining 2026 calendar that would compel an appearance. Traders price the “No” outcome at 79.8% because age-related frailty and the absence of recent confirmed sightings point to continued seclusion through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former President of the People's Republic of China, Hu Jintao, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (Beijing Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hu Jintao, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hu Jintao, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Объем
$1,535Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Hu Jintao, now in his mid-80s, has maintained an extremely low public profile since his escorted departure from the 2022 Party Congress, with his most recent verified appearance occurring at Jiang Zemin’s December 2022 funeral. Subsequent years brought reports of recurring health issues, including new problems noted through mid-2025, while official mentions in early 2026 were limited to private condolences or hospital visits alongside other elders rather than formal events. Chinese political norms for retired leaders emphasize minimal visibility absent major ceremonies or leadership transitions, and no such scheduled occasions align with the remaining 2026 calendar that would compel an appearance. Traders price the “No” outcome at 79.8% because age-related frailty and the absence of recent confirmed sightings point to continued seclusion through year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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