Recent NASA updates have shifted Artemis III to a 2027 Earth-orbit test flight involving Orion docking with test versions of SpaceX Starship and Blue Origin Blue Moon landers, pushing the first crewed lunar landing to Artemis IV in 2028. Supply chain bottlenecks, avionics delays, and the need for extensive propellant transfer and docking demonstrations have eliminated any 2026 human landing window, with commercial uncrewed landers also slipping into 2027. With only weeks remaining in the year and no hardware or launch manifests positioned for a crewed mission, trader consensus reflects these confirmed timelines. The main remaining uncertainties include potential last-minute technical anomalies or regulatory holds, though neither appears likely to enable a 2026 outcome.