Recent primaries on June 2 have locked in a rematch between Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks, who defeated her primary challenger by a wide margin, and Democrat Christina Bohannan, who secured over 80 percent in her contest. The district's narrow 2024 margin of roughly 800 votes and R+4 partisan voting index have positioned it as one of the more competitive House races heading into November, with Bohannan's prior campaign infrastructure and name recognition contributing to trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 73 percent. Fundraising parity, turnout patterns in eastern Iowa counties, and broader midterm dynamics remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоIA-01 House Election Winner
IA-01 House Election Winner
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Democratic Party
73%
Republican Party
28%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Democratic Party
$1,299 Объем
73%
Republican Party
$1,373 Объем
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent primaries on June 2 have locked in a rematch between Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks, who defeated her primary challenger by a wide margin, and Democrat Christina Bohannan, who secured over 80 percent in her contest. The district's narrow 2024 margin of roughly 800 votes and R+4 partisan voting index have positioned it as one of the more competitive House races heading into November, with Bohannan's prior campaign infrastructure and name recognition contributing to trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 73 percent. Fundraising parity, turnout patterns in eastern Iowa counties, and broader midterm dynamics remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ET
Объем
$2,672Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent primaries on June 2 have locked in a rematch between Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks, who defeated her primary challenger by a wide margin, and Democrat Christina Bohannan, who secured over 80 percent in her contest. The district's narrow 2024 margin of roughly 800 votes and R+4 partisan voting index have positioned it as one of the more competitive House races heading into November, with Bohannan's prior campaign infrastructure and name recognition contributing to trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 73 percent. Fundraising parity, turnout patterns in eastern Iowa counties, and broader midterm dynamics remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$2,672Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent primaries on June 2 have locked in a rematch between Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks, who defeated her primary challenger by a wide margin, and Democrat Christina Bohannan, who secured over 80 percent in her contest. The district's narrow 2024 margin of roughly 800 votes and R+4 partisan voting index have positioned it as one of the more competitive House races heading into November, with Bohannan's prior campaign infrastructure and name recognition contributing to trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 73 percent. Fundraising parity, turnout patterns in eastern Iowa counties, and broader midterm dynamics remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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