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icon for IL-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
Выборы·Выборы 4 ноября

IL-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей

icon for IL-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
Выборы·Выборы 4 ноября

IL-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей

Polymarket

$26,641 Объем

Polymarket

$26,641 Объем

Ла Шон Форд (Д)

$12,288 Объем

97%

Чад Коппи (Р)

$14,353 Объем

1%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).La Shawn Ford secured the Democratic nomination in a fragmented March 2026 primary for the open Illinois 7th congressional district seat, previously held by retiring Representative Danny Davis, while Chad Koppie advanced easily on the Republican side. The district's strong Democratic lean, demonstrated by Kamala Harris's 36.5-point margin in 2024 and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from major forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring Ford at 96.6%. His established profile as a long-serving state representative and early endorsements from Democratic figures further reinforce this positioning ahead of the November general election. A realistic shift would require unforeseen events such as a significant scandal or health development affecting the frontrunner, given the absence of competitive polling or fundraising parity.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$26,641
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).La Shawn Ford secured the Democratic nomination in a fragmented March 2026 primary for the open Illinois 7th congressional district seat, previously held by retiring Representative Danny Davis, while Chad Koppie advanced easily on the Republican side. The district's strong Democratic lean, demonstrated by Kamala Harris's 36.5-point margin in 2024 and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from major forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring Ford at 96.6%. His established profile as a long-serving state representative and early endorsements from Democratic figures further reinforce this positioning ahead of the November general election. A realistic shift would require unforeseen events such as a significant scandal or health development affecting the frontrunner, given the absence of competitive polling or fundraising parity.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$26,641
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...

Связанные

icon for Победит ли Демократическая партия на выборах в Палату представителей по округу IL-08?

Победит ли Демократическая партия на выборах в Палату представителей по округу IL-08?

95%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей по округу IL-03?

Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей по округу IL-03?

97%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей по округу IL-04?

Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей по округу IL-04?

96%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«IL-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Ла Шон Форд (Д)» с 97%, за ним следует «Чад Коппи (Р)» с 1%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 97¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 97%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «IL-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $26.6K с момента запуска рынка Jan 28, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «IL-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «IL-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей» — «Ла Шон Форд (Д)» с 97%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 97%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Чад Коппи (Р)» с 1%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «IL-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.