Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker's unopposed March 17 primary victory sets up a 2022 rematch against Republican Darren Bailey, reinforcing trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic win in the November 3 general election. Pritzker's prior 13-point margin, personal wealth enabling massive self-funding, and Illinois' strong Democratic lean in presidential and midterm races underpin this dominance, with available polls like Victory Research's late 2025 survey showing him up 54%-34%. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days, amid stable approval ratings around 52%. Upsets could stem from scandals, economic shocks, health issues, or a national Republican wave, though historical incumbent re-election rates in blue states exceed 90%.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Иллинойса
Победитель выборов губернатора Иллинойса
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
92%
Республиканец
7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
$1,866 Объем
92%
Республиканец
$2,658 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker's unopposed March 17 primary victory sets up a 2022 rematch against Republican Darren Bailey, reinforcing trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic win in the November 3 general election. Pritzker's prior 13-point margin, personal wealth enabling massive self-funding, and Illinois' strong Democratic lean in presidential and midterm races underpin this dominance, with available polls like Victory Research's late 2025 survey showing him up 54%-34%. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days, amid stable approval ratings around 52%. Upsets could stem from scandals, economic shocks, health issues, or a national Republican wave, though historical incumbent re-election rates in blue states exceed 90%.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Объем
$4,524Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker's unopposed March 17 primary victory sets up a 2022 rematch against Republican Darren Bailey, reinforcing trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic win in the November 3 general election. Pritzker's prior 13-point margin, personal wealth enabling massive self-funding, and Illinois' strong Democratic lean in presidential and midterm races underpin this dominance, with available polls like Victory Research's late 2025 survey showing him up 54%-34%. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days, amid stable approval ratings around 52%. Upsets could stem from scandals, economic shocks, health issues, or a national Republican wave, though historical incumbent re-election rates in blue states exceed 90%.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$4,524Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker's unopposed March 17 primary victory sets up a 2022 rematch against Republican Darren Bailey, reinforcing trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic win in the November 3 general election. Pritzker's prior 13-point margin, personal wealth enabling massive self-funding, and Illinois' strong Democratic lean in presidential and midterm races underpin this dominance, with available polls like Victory Research's late 2025 survey showing him up 54%-34%. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days, amid stable approval ratings around 52%. Upsets could stem from scandals, economic shocks, health issues, or a national Republican wave, though historical incumbent re-election rates in blue states exceed 90%.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы