Following Sen. Dick Durbin's 2025 retirement announcement and the March 17 primaries, Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in a crowded field, setting up a general election matchup against former Illinois GOP chair Don Tracy on November 3. Trader consensus prices Democrats at 90% implied probability to retain the seat, reflecting Illinois' entrenched Democratic dominance—no Republican has won a statewide race in over a decade—and forecasts rating it Safe D from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. No head-to-head polls have emerged post-primary, with recent campaign activity focused on Stratton's pledges to counter President Trump's agenda amid steady suburban and Chicago turnout expectations; a GOP upset would require unprecedented shifts in voter enthusiasm or scandals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат штата Иллинойс
Победитель выборов в Сенат штата Иллинойс
$24,617 Объем
$24,617 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
95%
Республиканец
4%
$24,617 Объем
$24,617 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
$12,484 Объем
95%
Республиканец
$12,133 Объем
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Following Sen. Dick Durbin's 2025 retirement announcement and the March 17 primaries, Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in a crowded field, setting up a general election matchup against former Illinois GOP chair Don Tracy on November 3. Trader consensus prices Democrats at 90% implied probability to retain the seat, reflecting Illinois' entrenched Democratic dominance—no Republican has won a statewide race in over a decade—and forecasts rating it Safe D from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. No head-to-head polls have emerged post-primary, with recent campaign activity focused on Stratton's pledges to counter President Trump's agenda amid steady suburban and Chicago turnout expectations; a GOP upset would require unprecedented shifts in voter enthusiasm or scandals.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Объем
$24,617Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Following Sen. Dick Durbin's 2025 retirement announcement and the March 17 primaries, Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in a crowded field, setting up a general election matchup against former Illinois GOP chair Don Tracy on November 3. Trader consensus prices Democrats at 90% implied probability to retain the seat, reflecting Illinois' entrenched Democratic dominance—no Republican has won a statewide race in over a decade—and forecasts rating it Safe D from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. No head-to-head polls have emerged post-primary, with recent campaign activity focused on Stratton's pledges to counter President Trump's agenda amid steady suburban and Chicago turnout expectations; a GOP upset would require unprecedented shifts in voter enthusiasm or scandals.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$24,617Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Following Sen. Dick Durbin's 2025 retirement announcement and the March 17 primaries, Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in a crowded field, setting up a general election matchup against former Illinois GOP chair Don Tracy on November 3. Trader consensus prices Democrats at 90% implied probability to retain the seat, reflecting Illinois' entrenched Democratic dominance—no Republican has won a statewide race in over a decade—and forecasts rating it Safe D from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. No head-to-head polls have emerged post-primary, with recent campaign activity focused on Stratton's pledges to counter President Trump's agenda amid steady suburban and Chicago turnout expectations; a GOP upset would require unprecedented shifts in voter enthusiasm or scandals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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