Pakistan’s former prime minister Imran Khan remains imprisoned at Adiala Jail under convictions in the Al-Qadir Trust and Toshakhana cases, with appeals pending before the Islamabad High Court and sentence-suspension requests rejected earlier in 2026. The government maintains that any relief must occur through the judicial process rather than political negotiation, while the military establishment continues to view Khan as a significant political challenger. Recent Supreme Court proceedings on medical transfer resulted in a brief hospital visit followed by his prompt return to prison after doctors declared him fit, and planned PTI protests have not altered the legal timeline. These factors, combined with the short window until the end of 2026, underpin traders’ strong consensus against release by the deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
9% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
9% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan is released from prison by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, Imran Khan will be considered to have been released from prison only if he is not physically held in any Pakistani detention facility, including any prison, remand facility, or other place of formal custody, for a continuous period of at least 24 hours. A temporary release for medical treatment, a release on bail that is contingent on return to custody, or a release from one case while remaining in custody under another will not qualify. Release under house arrest, with travel restrictions, or with other non-custodial conditions following release will not prevent this market from resolving to "Yes".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the State of Pakistan or Imran Khan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pakistan’s former prime minister Imran Khan remains imprisoned at Adiala Jail under convictions in the Al-Qadir Trust and Toshakhana cases, with appeals pending before the Islamabad High Court and sentence-suspension requests rejected earlier in 2026. The government maintains that any relief must occur through the judicial process rather than political negotiation, while the military establishment continues to view Khan as a significant political challenger. Recent Supreme Court proceedings on medical transfer resulted in a brief hospital visit followed by his prompt return to prison after doctors declared him fit, and planned PTI protests have not altered the legal timeline. These factors, combined with the short window until the end of 2026, underpin traders’ strong consensus against release by the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan is released from prison by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, Imran Khan will be considered to have been released from prison only if he is not physically held in any Pakistani detention facility, including any prison, remand facility, or other place of formal custody, for a continuous period of at least 24 hours. A temporary release for medical treatment, a release on bail that is contingent on return to custody, or a release from one case while remaining in custody under another will not qualify. Release under house arrest, with travel restrictions, or with other non-custodial conditions following release will not prevent this market from resolving to "Yes".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the State of Pakistan or Imran Khan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For purposes of this market, Imran Khan will be considered to have been released from prison only if he is not physically held in any Pakistani detention facility, including any prison, remand facility, or other place of formal custody, for a continuous period of at least 24 hours. A temporary release for medical treatment, a release on bail that is contingent on return to custody, or a release from one case while remaining in custody under another will not qualify. Release under house arrest, with travel restrictions, or with other non-custodial conditions following release will not prevent this market from resolving to "Yes".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the State of Pakistan or Imran Khan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 6, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Объем
$2,458Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 6, 2026, 6:06 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if former Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan is released from prison by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, Imran Khan will be considered to have been released from prison only if he is not physically held in any Pakistani detention facility, including any prison, remand facility, or other place of formal custody, for a continuous period of at least 24 hours. A temporary release for medical treatment, a release on bail that is contingent on return to custody, or a release from one case while remaining in custody under another will not qualify. Release under house arrest, with travel restrictions, or with other non-custodial conditions following release will not prevent this market from resolving to "Yes".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the State of Pakistan or Imran Khan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pakistan’s former prime minister Imran Khan remains imprisoned at Adiala Jail under convictions in the Al-Qadir Trust and Toshakhana cases, with appeals pending before the Islamabad High Court and sentence-suspension requests rejected earlier in 2026. The government maintains that any relief must occur through the judicial process rather than political negotiation, while the military establishment continues to view Khan as a significant political challenger. Recent Supreme Court proceedings on medical transfer resulted in a brief hospital visit followed by his prompt return to prison after doctors declared him fit, and planned PTI protests have not altered the legal timeline. These factors, combined with the short window until the end of 2026, underpin traders’ strong consensus against release by the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan is released from prison by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, Imran Khan will be considered to have been released from prison only if he is not physically held in any Pakistani detention facility, including any prison, remand facility, or other place of formal custody, for a continuous period of at least 24 hours. A temporary release for medical treatment, a release on bail that is contingent on return to custody, or a release from one case while remaining in custody under another will not qualify. Release under house arrest, with travel restrictions, or with other non-custodial conditions following release will not prevent this market from resolving to "Yes".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the State of Pakistan or Imran Khan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For purposes of this market, Imran Khan will be considered to have been released from prison only if he is not physically held in any Pakistani detention facility, including any prison, remand facility, or other place of formal custody, for a continuous period of at least 24 hours. A temporary release for medical treatment, a release on bail that is contingent on return to custody, or a release from one case while remaining in custody under another will not qualify. Release under house arrest, with travel restrictions, or with other non-custodial conditions following release will not prevent this market from resolving to "Yes".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the State of Pakistan or Imran Khan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$2,458Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 6, 2026, 6:06 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Pakistan’s former prime minister Imran Khan remains imprisoned at Adiala Jail under convictions in the Al-Qadir Trust and Toshakhana cases, with appeals pending before the Islamabad High Court and sentence-suspension requests rejected earlier in 2026. The government maintains that any relief must occur through the judicial process rather than political negotiation, while the military establishment continues to view Khan as a significant political challenger. Recent Supreme Court proceedings on medical transfer resulted in a brief hospital visit followed by his prompt return to prison after doctors declared him fit, and planned PTI protests have not altered the legal timeline. These factors, combined with the short window until the end of 2026, underpin traders’ strong consensus against release by the deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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