Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, combined with July investor meetings led by its CFO and underwriters including Goldman Sachs, has driven trader consensus toward an October 2026 IPO at 57.5% implied probability. The large language model developer’s rapid revenue growth and competitive positioning in the AI sector support a near-term listing once the typical three-to-six-month regulatory review concludes, though final timing remains subject to market conditions and SEC feedback. November follows at 11.5% as a plausible alternative if reviews extend or volatility rises, while later 2026 and 2027 months reflect lower odds tied to potential delays or shifts in AI valuations. Traders are closely watching fall roadshow developments for resolution signals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоОктябрь 2026 года 57%
Ноябрь 2026 12%
Сентябрь 2026 9%
Декабрь 2026 года 6%
Сентябрь 2026
9%
Октябрь 2026 года
57%
Ноябрь 2026
12%
Декабрь 2026 года
6%
Январь 2027 года
6%
Февраль 2027 года
6%
Март 2027 года
5%
Апрель 2027 года
4%
Май 2027
5%
Июнь 2027 года
6%
Июль 2027
4%
Август 2027 года
4%
Сентябрь 2027
4%
Октябрь 2027 года
1%
Ноябрь 2027 года
4%
Декабрь 2027 года
4%
Нет IPO до 2028 года
5%
Октябрь 2026 года 57%
Ноябрь 2026 12%
Сентябрь 2026 9%
Декабрь 2026 года 6%
Сентябрь 2026
9%
Октябрь 2026 года
57%
Ноябрь 2026
12%
Декабрь 2026 года
6%
Январь 2027 года
6%
Февраль 2027 года
6%
Март 2027 года
5%
Апрель 2027 года
4%
Май 2027
5%
Июнь 2027 года
6%
Июль 2027
4%
Август 2027 года
4%
Сентябрь 2027
4%
Октябрь 2027 года
1%
Ноябрь 2027 года
4%
Декабрь 2027 года
4%
Нет IPO до 2028 года
5%
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Открытие рынка: Aug 19, 2026, 9:36 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, combined with July investor meetings led by its CFO and underwriters including Goldman Sachs, has driven trader consensus toward an October 2026 IPO at 57.5% implied probability. The large language model developer’s rapid revenue growth and competitive positioning in the AI sector support a near-term listing once the typical three-to-six-month regulatory review concludes, though final timing remains subject to market conditions and SEC feedback. November follows at 11.5% as a plausible alternative if reviews extend or volatility rises, while later 2026 and 2027 months reflect lower odds tied to potential delays or shifts in AI valuations. Traders are closely watching fall roadshow developments for resolution signals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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