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icon for Сенат Айовы и губернатор Комбо
Политика·Роб Санд

Сенат Айовы и губернатор Комбо

icon for Сенат Айовы и губернатор Комбо
Политика·Роб Санд

Сенат Айовы и губернатор Комбо

Победа демократов 37%

Демократы выигрывают губернатора, республиканцы выигрывают сенат 31%

Победа республиканцев 29%

Республиканцы выигрывают губернатора, демократы выигрывают сенат 1.8%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Победа демократов 37%

Демократы выигрывают губернатора, республиканцы выигрывают сенат 31%

Победа республиканцев 29%

Республиканцы выигрывают губернатора, демократы выигрывают сенат 1.8%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Победа демократов

$490 Объем

37%

Демократы выигрывают губернатора, республиканцы выигрывают сенат

$2,101 Объем

31%

Победа республиканцев

$1,062 Объем

29%

Республиканцы выигрывают губернатора, демократы выигрывают сенат

$341 Объем

2%

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. Both Iowa races feature open seats following Republican retirements, with Democratic state auditor Rob Sand facing Republican businessman Zach Lahn for governor and Republican congresswoman Ashley Hinson opposing Democrat Josh Turek for the U.S. Senate seat. Recent Emerson and NYT/Siena polls from June through early August show Sand holding narrow leads of 5 points or less in the gubernatorial contest, while Senate surveys remain within the margin of error. Lahn's primary upset victory and Hinson's strong establishment backing have shaped candidate positioning. Trader pricing reflects these dynamics through elevated probabilities for Democratic gains in the governor's race alongside a Republican edge in the Senate, producing substantial weight on split outcomes and the residual category amid the state's modest Republican lean and limited historical crossover voting patterns.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$3,993
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 11:06 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. Both Iowa races feature open seats following Republican retirements, with Democratic state auditor Rob Sand facing Republican businessman Zach Lahn for governor and Republican congresswoman Ashley Hinson opposing Democrat Josh Turek for the U.S. Senate seat. Recent Emerson and NYT/Siena polls from June through early August show Sand holding narrow leads of 5 points or less in the gubernatorial contest, while Senate surveys remain within the margin of error. Lahn's primary upset victory and Hinson's strong establishment backing have shaped candidate positioning. Trader pricing reflects these dynamics through elevated probabilities for Democratic gains in the governor's race alongside a Republican edge in the Senate, producing substantial weight on split outcomes and the residual category amid the state's modest Republican lean and limited historical crossover voting patterns.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$3,993
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 11:06 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

Связанные

icon for Выиграют ли республиканцы выборы губернатора Нью-Гэмпшира, а демократы выборы в сенат Нью-Гэмпшира?

Выиграют ли республиканцы выборы губернатора Нью-Гэмпшира, а демократы выборы в сенат Нью-Гэмпшира?

68%
Да
icon for Сумеют ли демократы одержать убедительную победу на выборах в Сенат и губернаторы Аляски?

Сумеют ли демократы одержать убедительную победу на выборах в Сенат и губернаторы Аляски?

36%
Да
icon for Победят ли демократы на выборах в сенат и на пост губернатора Мичигана?

Победят ли демократы на выборах в сенат и на пост губернатора Мичигана?

56%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Сенат Айовы и губернатор Комбо» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 4 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Победа демократов» с 37%, за ним следует «Демократы выигрывают губернатора, республиканцы выигрывают сенат» с 31%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 37¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 37%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Сенат Айовы и губернатор Комбо» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 11, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Сенат Айовы и губернатор Комбо», просмотри 4 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Сенат Айовы и губернатор Комбо» — «Победа демократов» с 37%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 37%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Демократы выигрывают губернатора, республиканцы выигрывают сенат» с 31%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Сенат Айовы и губернатор Комбо» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.