Iowa's open Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson against Democrat Josh Turek in the November 2026 general election. Hinson's decisive primary win, bolstered by endorsements from Donald Trump and Ernst plus a substantial fundraising edge, aligns with the state's Republican lean and supports her 57% trader consensus as the leading outcome. Turek's primary victory and profile as a state representative have narrowed the gap to 43.5% by highlighting competitive dynamics in polling averages through early August. The race remains sensitive to further campaign developments and voter turnout patterns in this battleground environment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат штата Айова
Победитель выборов в Сенат штата Айова
$180,830 Объем
$180,830 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Эшли Хинсон (Р)
57%
Джош Турек (Д)
44%
$180,830 Объем
$180,830 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Эшли Хинсон (Р)
$91,343 Объем
57%
Джош Турек (Д)
$89,487 Объем
44%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa's open Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson against Democrat Josh Turek in the November 2026 general election. Hinson's decisive primary win, bolstered by endorsements from Donald Trump and Ernst plus a substantial fundraising edge, aligns with the state's Republican lean and supports her 57% trader consensus as the leading outcome. Turek's primary victory and profile as a state representative have narrowed the gap to 43.5% by highlighting competitive dynamics in polling averages through early August. The race remains sensitive to further campaign developments and voter turnout patterns in this battleground environment.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
Объем
$180,830Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa's open Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson against Democrat Josh Turek in the November 2026 general election. Hinson's decisive primary win, bolstered by endorsements from Donald Trump and Ernst plus a substantial fundraising edge, aligns with the state's Republican lean and supports her 57% trader consensus as the leading outcome. Turek's primary victory and profile as a state representative have narrowed the gap to 43.5% by highlighting competitive dynamics in polling averages through early August. The race remains sensitive to further campaign developments and voter turnout patterns in this battleground environment.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$180,830Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa's open Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson against Democrat Josh Turek in the November 2026 general election. Hinson's decisive primary win, bolstered by endorsements from Donald Trump and Ernst plus a substantial fundraising edge, aligns with the state's Republican lean and supports her 57% trader consensus as the leading outcome. Turek's primary victory and profile as a state representative have narrowed the gap to 43.5% by highlighting competitive dynamics in polling averages through early August. The race remains sensitive to further campaign developments and voter turnout patterns in this battleground environment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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