Iowa's Republican lean, with the state favoring the GOP in recent presidential and Senate contests, underpins trader consensus favoring Ashley Hinson in the open-seat race to replace retiring Sen. Joni Ernst. Hinson secured the Republican nomination with endorsements from Ernst and Donald Trump, finishing the primary with a fundraising lead exceeding $6.7 million by late June. Josh Turek's Democratic primary victory and profile as a state representative and Paralympic medalist have kept the race competitive, with recent polls showing margins of 2–4 points or ties. The November 3 general election timeline and Iowa's partisan voting patterns continue to shape the narrow probability spread reflected in current market pricing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат штата Айова
Победитель выборов в Сенат штата Айова
$176,144 Объем
$176,144 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Эшли Хинсон (Р)
56%
Джош Турек (Д)
44%
$176,144 Объем
$176,144 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Эшли Хинсон (Р)
$86,983 Объем
56%
Джош Турек (Д)
$89,161 Объем
44%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa's Republican lean, with the state favoring the GOP in recent presidential and Senate contests, underpins trader consensus favoring Ashley Hinson in the open-seat race to replace retiring Sen. Joni Ernst. Hinson secured the Republican nomination with endorsements from Ernst and Donald Trump, finishing the primary with a fundraising lead exceeding $6.7 million by late June. Josh Turek's Democratic primary victory and profile as a state representative and Paralympic medalist have kept the race competitive, with recent polls showing margins of 2–4 points or ties. The November 3 general election timeline and Iowa's partisan voting patterns continue to shape the narrow probability spread reflected in current market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
Объем
$176,144Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa's Republican lean, with the state favoring the GOP in recent presidential and Senate contests, underpins trader consensus favoring Ashley Hinson in the open-seat race to replace retiring Sen. Joni Ernst. Hinson secured the Republican nomination with endorsements from Ernst and Donald Trump, finishing the primary with a fundraising lead exceeding $6.7 million by late June. Josh Turek's Democratic primary victory and profile as a state representative and Paralympic medalist have kept the race competitive, with recent polls showing margins of 2–4 points or ties. The November 3 general election timeline and Iowa's partisan voting patterns continue to shape the narrow probability spread reflected in current market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$176,144Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa's Republican lean, with the state favoring the GOP in recent presidential and Senate contests, underpins trader consensus favoring Ashley Hinson in the open-seat race to replace retiring Sen. Joni Ernst. Hinson secured the Republican nomination with endorsements from Ernst and Donald Trump, finishing the primary with a fundraising lead exceeding $6.7 million by late June. Josh Turek's Democratic primary victory and profile as a state representative and Paralympic medalist have kept the race competitive, with recent polls showing margins of 2–4 points or ties. The November 3 general election timeline and Iowa's partisan voting patterns continue to shape the narrow probability spread reflected in current market pricing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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