The assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in late February 2026 during military strikes triggered Iran's constitutional succession process, with the Assembly of Experts electing his son Mojtaba Khamenei as the new leader in early March. This rapid transition, backed by the Revolutionary Guards amid a three-member interim council, has shaped trader views on further leadership shifts by setting a precedent for continuity despite Mojtaba's limited public role and reported absences from key diplomatic talks. Domestic economic pressures, ongoing regional tensions, and institutional dynamics around the Guardians Council and clerical bodies remain central factors that could influence stability or prompt additional changes before year-end deadlines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$13,712,093 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
31 мая
7%
30 июня
13%
31 декабря
34%
$13,712,093 Объем
31 мая
$2,016,856 Объем
7%
30 июня
$1,099,994 Объем
13%
31 декабря
$2,399,362 Объем
34%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in late February 2026 during military strikes triggered Iran's constitutional succession process, with the Assembly of Experts electing his son Mojtaba Khamenei as the new leader in early March. This rapid transition, backed by the Revolutionary Guards amid a three-member interim council, has shaped trader views on further leadership shifts by setting a precedent for continuity despite Mojtaba's limited public role and reported absences from key diplomatic talks. Domestic economic pressures, ongoing regional tensions, and institutional dynamics around the Guardians Council and clerical bodies remain central factors that could influence stability or prompt additional changes before year-end deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ET
Объем
$13,712,093Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in late February 2026 during military strikes triggered Iran's constitutional succession process, with the Assembly of Experts electing his son Mojtaba Khamenei as the new leader in early March. This rapid transition, backed by the Revolutionary Guards amid a three-member interim council, has shaped trader views on further leadership shifts by setting a precedent for continuity despite Mojtaba's limited public role and reported absences from key diplomatic talks. Domestic economic pressures, ongoing regional tensions, and institutional dynamics around the Guardians Council and clerical bodies remain central factors that could influence stability or prompt additional changes before year-end deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$13,712,093Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in late February 2026 during military strikes triggered Iran's constitutional succession process, with the Assembly of Experts electing his son Mojtaba Khamenei as the new leader in early March. This rapid transition, backed by the Revolutionary Guards amid a three-member interim council, has shaped trader views on further leadership shifts by setting a precedent for continuity despite Mojtaba's limited public role and reported absences from key diplomatic talks. Domestic economic pressures, ongoing regional tensions, and institutional dynamics around the Guardians Council and clerical bodies remain central factors that could influence stability or prompt additional changes before year-end deadlines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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