Official records from the New York City medical examiner and multiple Department of Justice and FBI investigations established Jeffrey Epstein's death by suicide in August 2019, with supporting autopsy findings and prison documentation. Recent 2025-2026 releases of additional DOJ files, post-mortem images, internal logs, and investigative materials have added further corroboration without introducing verified evidence of survival or relocation. Persistent social media claims and debunked imagery, including AI-generated content, have not produced any credible sightings, DNA matches, or official statements challenging the established facts. Traders assign overwhelming probability to the "No" outcome because confirmation of Epstein being alive would require extraordinary, independently verifiable proof that has not emerged in over seven years. Remote scenarios such as a sudden authenticated living identification or unprecedented government disclosure before 2027 remain the only theoretical paths to market resolution in the affirmative.