Recent polling averages place the Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) near 7–8 seats for the October 27 Knesset election, reflecting stable Arab-sector support amid efforts to unify lists and secure surplus-vote agreements with Ra'am. Candidate-list filings, disqualification challenges against several Arab parties, and modest turnout variations have kept projections in a narrow band, with most surveys showing 6–9 seats. Trader consensus across the 6–9 seat outcomes captures uncertainty over final voter mobilization, threshold performance, and whether late alliances or bloc realignments could shift the Arab parties’ combined total before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено8–9 38%
6-7 24%
10-11 22%
<6 18%
<6
18%
6-7
26%
8–9
38%
10-11
22%
12+
3%
8–9 38%
6-7 24%
10-11 22%
<6 18%
<6
18%
6-7
26%
8–9
38%
10-11
22%
12+
3%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place the Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) near 7–8 seats for the October 27 Knesset election, reflecting stable Arab-sector support amid efforts to unify lists and secure surplus-vote agreements with Ra'am. Candidate-list filings, disqualification challenges against several Arab parties, and modest turnout variations have kept projections in a narrow band, with most surveys showing 6–9 seats. Trader consensus across the 6–9 seat outcomes captures uncertainty over final voter mobilization, threshold performance, and whether late alliances or bloc realignments could shift the Arab parties’ combined total before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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