Recent polling averages project Otzma Yehudit at 6–9 Knesset seats in Israel’s October 27, 2026 election, amid a tight contest between Likud and Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party. The party finalized its slate in early September with former Likud MK Tally Gotliv in the second position and its first Haredi candidate, Yossi Goldberger, ninth, aiming to broaden appeal. Traders weigh these moves against competition from Religious Zionism and Amcha Yisrael for right-wing votes, plus reports that Likud may seek to limit Otzma Yehudit’s strength to enable post-election alignment with Eisenkot. Surplus-vote pacts and bloc dynamics further shape the implied probabilities reflected in current pricing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено4,5–5,5% 27%
<4,5% 22%
7,5%+ 19%
5,5–6,5% 0
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<4,5%
19%
4,5–5,5%
27%
5,5–6,5%
42%
6,5-7,5%
48%
7,5%+
26%
4,5–5,5% 27%
<4,5% 22%
7,5%+ 19%
5,5–6,5% 0
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<4,5%
$26 Объем
19%
4,5–5,5%
$13 Объем
27%
5,5–6,5%
$78 Объем
42%
6,5-7,5%
$114 Объем
48%
7,5%+
$312 Объем
26%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling averages project Otzma Yehudit at 6–9 Knesset seats in Israel’s October 27, 2026 election, amid a tight contest between Likud and Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party. The party finalized its slate in early September with former Likud MK Tally Gotliv in the second position and its first Haredi candidate, Yossi Goldberger, ninth, aiming to broaden appeal. Traders weigh these moves against competition from Religious Zionism and Amcha Yisrael for right-wing votes, plus reports that Likud may seek to limit Otzma Yehudit’s strength to enable post-election alignment with Eisenkot. Surplus-vote pacts and bloc dynamics further shape the implied probabilities reflected in current pricing.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
Объем
$543Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling averages project Otzma Yehudit at 6–9 Knesset seats in Israel’s October 27, 2026 election, amid a tight contest between Likud and Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party. The party finalized its slate in early September with former Likud MK Tally Gotliv in the second position and its first Haredi candidate, Yossi Goldberger, ninth, aiming to broaden appeal. Traders weigh these moves against competition from Religious Zionism and Amcha Yisrael for right-wing votes, plus reports that Likud may seek to limit Otzma Yehudit’s strength to enable post-election alignment with Eisenkot. Surplus-vote pacts and bloc dynamics further shape the implied probabilities reflected in current pricing.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Объем
$543Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages project Otzma Yehudit at 6–9 Knesset seats in Israel’s October 27, 2026 election, amid a tight contest between Likud and Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party. The party finalized its slate in early September with former Likud MK Tally Gotliv in the second position and its first Haredi candidate, Yossi Goldberger, ninth, aiming to broaden appeal. Traders weigh these moves against competition from Religious Zionism and Amcha Yisrael for right-wing votes, plus reports that Likud may seek to limit Otzma Yehudit’s strength to enable post-election alignment with Eisenkot. Surplus-vote pacts and bloc dynamics further shape the implied probabilities reflected in current pricing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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