The Reservists–New Economic Party alliance, formed in early September 2026 between Yoaz Hendel’s reservist-focused list and Yaron Zelekha’s economic platform, centers on universal service demands and cost-of-living reforms ahead of the October 27 Knesset election. Recent polls place the joint list near or just above the 3.25% threshold, with support drawn from reservists and voters prioritizing burden-sharing and economic accountability, yet vulnerable to fragmentation among centrist and right-leaning alternatives such as Yashar and Amcha Yisrael. This volatility has produced closely matched trader probabilities around the 2.75–3.25% band versus lower outcomes, reflecting uncertainty over final turnout among service-oriented blocs and last-minute coalition signals that could consolidate or dilute its vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено<2,75% 44%
2,75-3,25% 26%
3,75-4,25% 12%
4,25%+ 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<2,75%
57%
2,75-3,25%
28%
3,25–3,75%
6%
3,75-4,25%
12%
4,25%+
7%
<2,75% 44%
2,75-3,25% 26%
3,75-4,25% 12%
4,25%+ 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<2,75%
$152 Объем
57%
2,75-3,25%
$96 Объем
28%
3,25–3,75%
$76 Объем
6%
3,75-4,25%
$74 Объем
12%
4,25%+
$99 Объем
7%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).The Reservists–New Economic Party alliance, formed in early September 2026 between Yoaz Hendel’s reservist-focused list and Yaron Zelekha’s economic platform, centers on universal service demands and cost-of-living reforms ahead of the October 27 Knesset election. Recent polls place the joint list near or just above the 3.25% threshold, with support drawn from reservists and voters prioritizing burden-sharing and economic accountability, yet vulnerable to fragmentation among centrist and right-leaning alternatives such as Yashar and Amcha Yisrael. This volatility has produced closely matched trader probabilities around the 2.75–3.25% band versus lower outcomes, reflecting uncertainty over final turnout among service-oriented blocs and last-minute coalition signals that could consolidate or dilute its vote.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Открытие рынка: Sep 9, 2026, 5:21 PM ET
Объем
$496Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 5:21 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).The Reservists–New Economic Party alliance, formed in early September 2026 between Yoaz Hendel’s reservist-focused list and Yaron Zelekha’s economic platform, centers on universal service demands and cost-of-living reforms ahead of the October 27 Knesset election. Recent polls place the joint list near or just above the 3.25% threshold, with support drawn from reservists and voters prioritizing burden-sharing and economic accountability, yet vulnerable to fragmentation among centrist and right-leaning alternatives such as Yashar and Amcha Yisrael. This volatility has produced closely matched trader probabilities around the 2.75–3.25% band versus lower outcomes, reflecting uncertainty over final turnout among service-oriented blocs and last-minute coalition signals that could consolidate or dilute its vote.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Объем
$496Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 5:21 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Reservists–New Economic Party alliance, formed in early September 2026 between Yoaz Hendel’s reservist-focused list and Yaron Zelekha’s economic platform, centers on universal service demands and cost-of-living reforms ahead of the October 27 Knesset election. Recent polls place the joint list near or just above the 3.25% threshold, with support drawn from reservists and voters prioritizing burden-sharing and economic accountability, yet vulnerable to fragmentation among centrist and right-leaning alternatives such as Yashar and Amcha Yisrael. This volatility has produced closely matched trader probabilities around the 2.75–3.25% band versus lower outcomes, reflecting uncertainty over final turnout among service-oriented blocs and last-minute coalition signals that could consolidate or dilute its vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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