Recent polling averages position Shas, the Sephardi ultra-Orthodox party, in the 7–10 seat range ahead of the October 27 Knesset election, reflecting its stable but modest support base within the broader right-religious bloc. Key influences include ongoing debates over Haredi military conscription, which strain relations with coalition partners and affect turnout among core voters, alongside leadership dynamics involving Arye Deri and Rabbi Yitzhak Yosef. Fragmentation from new entrants like Ofer Winter’s party and potential threshold crossings by competitors such as Religious Zionism or Zionist Home introduce volatility, while Shas’s role as a potential kingmaker in coalition arithmetic reinforces expectations for mid-single-digit to low-double-digit results. Trader pricing on 8–9 seats aligns with this consistent polling pattern across recent surveys.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено8-9 34%
6–7 19%
12+ 18%
10-11 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<6
12%
6–7
19%
8-9
34%
10-11
14%
12+
18%
8-9 34%
6–7 19%
12+ 18%
10-11 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<6
$5 Объем
12%
6–7
$555 Объем
19%
8-9
$81 Объем
34%
10-11
$0 Объем
14%
12+
$20 Объем
18%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages position Shas, the Sephardi ultra-Orthodox party, in the 7–10 seat range ahead of the October 27 Knesset election, reflecting its stable but modest support base within the broader right-religious bloc. Key influences include ongoing debates over Haredi military conscription, which strain relations with coalition partners and affect turnout among core voters, alongside leadership dynamics involving Arye Deri and Rabbi Yitzhak Yosef. Fragmentation from new entrants like Ofer Winter’s party and potential threshold crossings by competitors such as Religious Zionism or Zionist Home introduce volatility, while Shas’s role as a potential kingmaker in coalition arithmetic reinforces expectations for mid-single-digit to low-double-digit results. Trader pricing on 8–9 seats aligns with this consistent polling pattern across recent surveys.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Объем
$661Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages position Shas, the Sephardi ultra-Orthodox party, in the 7–10 seat range ahead of the October 27 Knesset election, reflecting its stable but modest support base within the broader right-religious bloc. Key influences include ongoing debates over Haredi military conscription, which strain relations with coalition partners and affect turnout among core voters, alongside leadership dynamics involving Arye Deri and Rabbi Yitzhak Yosef. Fragmentation from new entrants like Ofer Winter’s party and potential threshold crossings by competitors such as Religious Zionism or Zionist Home introduce volatility, while Shas’s role as a potential kingmaker in coalition arithmetic reinforces expectations for mid-single-digit to low-double-digit results. Trader pricing on 8–9 seats aligns with this consistent polling pattern across recent surveys.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Объем
$661Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages position Shas, the Sephardi ultra-Orthodox party, in the 7–10 seat range ahead of the October 27 Knesset election, reflecting its stable but modest support base within the broader right-religious bloc. Key influences include ongoing debates over Haredi military conscription, which strain relations with coalition partners and affect turnout among core voters, alongside leadership dynamics involving Arye Deri and Rabbi Yitzhak Yosef. Fragmentation from new entrants like Ofer Winter’s party and potential threshold crossings by competitors such as Religious Zionism or Zionist Home introduce volatility, while Shas’s role as a potential kingmaker in coalition arithmetic reinforces expectations for mid-single-digit to low-double-digit results. Trader pricing on 8–9 seats aligns with this consistent polling pattern across recent surveys.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы