US-mediated security talks between Israeli and Syrian officials, including a late-August meeting in Jordan involving the Mossad chief and Syrian foreign minister, reflect active diplomatic channels aimed at de-escalation, halting cross-border strikes, and reviving elements of the 1974 disengagement framework. Syria prioritizes Israeli withdrawal to pre-December 2024 positions and limits on Turkish influence or advanced weaponry, while Israel emphasizes red lines on demilitarization, Druze community security, and buffer arrangements. Recent Syrian statements affirm commitment to US-brokered negotiations despite ongoing incidents, with prior Paris discussions in January establishing coordination mechanisms. These developments, alongside persistent trust gaps and regional spillover risks from Israel-Turkey tensions, shape trader assessments of whether a further diplomatic meeting occurs before any specified cutoff.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено30 сентября
17%
31 октября
51%
$9,505 Объем
30 сентября
17%
31 октября
51%
A diplomatic meeting occurs when representatives of both listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in diplomacy on behalf of their respective governments or governing authorities deliberately meet for the purpose of diplomacy or negotiation. A qualifying meeting need not result in any agreement, joint statement, or further engagement.
A direct meeting refers to a diplomatic meeting where the representatives of both countries directly interact with each other in person. Meetings conducted through translators qualify, provided direct, face-to-face communication occurs. An indirect meeting refers to a meeting conducted indirectly through designated mediators or facilitators. A qualifying indirect meeting must meet both of the following criteria (i) the designated intermediaries act with the knowledge and authorization of both entities; (ii) representatives of both entities are physically present in the same facility, venue, or city as part of a single organized round of talks convened for the purpose of diplomatic engagement, with the intermediary conveying communications between the representatives or delegations on the same day. “The same day” means the same calendar day local time at the meeting location.
Sessions, proceedings, or convenings of standing international organizations, treaty bodies, or recurring multilateral summits or conferences (e.g., the United Nations General Assembly, G7, and G20 summits) do not qualify, unless a qualifying and deliberate diplomatic meeting between representatives of the listed countries separately held alongside such a convening.
The following do not qualify as either a direct or indirect diplomatic meeting: chance encounters; standalone exchanges limited to greetings, courtesies, or photo opportunities; meetings conducted remotely, by telephone, or by any other means where the relevant representatives are not physically present at the same facility, venue, or city on the same day; discussions involving persons not authorized to engage in diplomacy or negotiation on behalf of their respective governments.
The occurrence of a qualifying meeting must be confirmed by the resolution sources by the resolution date.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and Syria and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 8:53 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...A diplomatic meeting occurs when representatives of both listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in diplomacy on behalf of their respective governments or governing authorities deliberately meet for the purpose of diplomacy or negotiation. A qualifying meeting need not result in any agreement, joint statement, or further engagement.
A direct meeting refers to a diplomatic meeting where the representatives of both countries directly interact with each other in person. Meetings conducted through translators qualify, provided direct, face-to-face communication occurs. An indirect meeting refers to a meeting conducted indirectly through designated mediators or facilitators. A qualifying indirect meeting must meet both of the following criteria (i) the designated intermediaries act with the knowledge and authorization of both entities; (ii) representatives of both entities are physically present in the same facility, venue, or city as part of a single organized round of talks convened for the purpose of diplomatic engagement, with the intermediary conveying communications between the representatives or delegations on the same day. “The same day” means the same calendar day local time at the meeting location.
Sessions, proceedings, or convenings of standing international organizations, treaty bodies, or recurring multilateral summits or conferences (e.g., the United Nations General Assembly, G7, and G20 summits) do not qualify, unless a qualifying and deliberate diplomatic meeting between representatives of the listed countries separately held alongside such a convening.
The following do not qualify as either a direct or indirect diplomatic meeting: chance encounters; standalone exchanges limited to greetings, courtesies, or photo opportunities; meetings conducted remotely, by telephone, or by any other means where the relevant representatives are not physically present at the same facility, venue, or city on the same day; discussions involving persons not authorized to engage in diplomacy or negotiation on behalf of their respective governments.
The occurrence of a qualifying meeting must be confirmed by the resolution sources by the resolution date.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and Syria and a consensus of credible reporting.
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...US-mediated security talks between Israeli and Syrian officials, including a late-August meeting in Jordan involving the Mossad chief and Syrian foreign minister, reflect active diplomatic channels aimed at de-escalation, halting cross-border strikes, and reviving elements of the 1974 disengagement framework. Syria prioritizes Israeli withdrawal to pre-December 2024 positions and limits on Turkish influence or advanced weaponry, while Israel emphasizes red lines on demilitarization, Druze community security, and buffer arrangements. Recent Syrian statements affirm commitment to US-brokered negotiations despite ongoing incidents, with prior Paris discussions in January establishing coordination mechanisms. These developments, alongside persistent trust gaps and regional spillover risks from Israel-Turkey tensions, shape trader assessments of whether a further diplomatic meeting occurs before any specified cutoff.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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